Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:39:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb7e…b4c7 crypto 1103 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (133 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$3,626 (+26%) realized +$3,626 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate49%537W / 566L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day133.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$99
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (133 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 316 +1.6% -8.0% 47% 29% -8.7%
≤30d 1103 +0.5% -9.0% 49% 30% -10.2%
≤90d 1103 +0.5% -9.0% 49% 30% -10.2%
all 1103 +0.5% -9.0% 49% 30% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover133.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 30% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.8% 16% -18.8%
15% -25.7% 9% -26.6%
20% -33.0% 5% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -1% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.99 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$3,626
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses537 / 566
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1103 / 1103
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$13
Trades / day133.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1103 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$12 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$3 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 17 $11 +$30 +283%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 −$10 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$2 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$8 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 16 $10 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$4 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$3 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 16 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $21 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$12 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 16 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 16 $10 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 74¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 69¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $13 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $12 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 34¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 42¢ $8 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $9 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records