Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:40:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb83…f67d
sports · 261 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$212 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open −$181
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$527
Realized−$33
Unrealized−$181
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses76 / 167
Est. fees paid−$141
Open positions18
Markets (closed)243 / 261
History coverage54d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day15.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 18 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days+$102
14 days−$198
30 days+$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $314 $330 +$16 (+5%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Ebola case in the US by June 30? Yes 25¢ 14¢ $50 $28 −$22 (-44%)
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 20¢ 18¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-12%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 31¢ 22¢ $25 $18 −$7 (-27%)
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes 4¢ 3¢ $25 $17 −$8 (-32%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Colorado Rockies 36¢ 34¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $12 −$8 (-38%)
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes 26¢ 13¢ $25 $12 −$13 (-50%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 5¢ 8¢ $5 $8 +$2 (+50%)
Will Conor McGregor fight Charles Oliveira next? Yes 5¢ 7¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+46%)
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes 5¢ 2¢ $20 $6 −$14 (-68%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $20 $6 −$14 (-71%)
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Israel closes its airspace by June 15? Yes 20¢ 3¢ $25 $4 −$21 (-84%)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers 4¢ 1¢ $14 $2 −$12 (-85%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays New York Yankees 11¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers 19¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bruins vs. Sabres Sabres 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Clavicular arrested again by April 30? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $56 +$61 +108%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Jun 12 $15 +$14 +95%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $131 −$129 -98%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $113 −$110 -97%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $353 +$196 +55%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $19 +$81 +417%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $241 +$191 +79%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $119 −$39 -33%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $61 +$127 +207%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $128 −$125 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $36 −$10 -28%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 09 $36 −$35 -97%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $11 −$10 -97%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$24 +456%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $16 −$15 -94%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 07 $111 −$109 -98%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 07 $48 −$47 -97%
Iran closes its airspace by June 22? Jun 07 $25 +$50 +199%
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? Jun 07 $32 +$4 +11%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $96 +$49 +51%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $25 +$22 +86%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Athletics vs. Houston Astros Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $33 +$72 +216%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 06 $90 −$35 -38%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 06 $44 −$42 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 05 $11 +$46 +434%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 05 $4 +$13 +302%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$15 +285%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 05 $1 −$1 -94%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 05 $35 −$19 -55%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $20 −$20 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 05 $93 +$32 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% +$237
other 14% −$340
crypto 5% −$13
world 4% −$54
tech 0% −$29
politics 0% −$10
finance 0% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 5¢ $5 1m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics BUY Colorado Rockies 36¢ $15 3m
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY St. Louis Cardinals 31¢ $26 3m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds SELL Arizona Diamondbacks 81¢ $117 5m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 4¢ $14 22m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 8¢ $10 23m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 42¢ $31 25m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 3¢ $4 49m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 4¢ $10 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 2¢ $5 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 4¢ $5 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 14¢ $15 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 9¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 34¢ $25 2h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 29¢ $15 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 8¢ $8 2h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Philadelphia Phillies 16¢ $21 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Texas Rangers 30¢ $26 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 19¢ $10 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 34¢ $7 2h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. SELL Yes 99¢ $30 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY New York Yankees 48¢ $25 3h
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. BUY Yes 50¢ $15 3h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $51 6h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $80 7h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 7h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? BUY Yes 3¢ $10 7h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 2¢ $51 24h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 10¢ $10 24h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 11¢ $15 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-15.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +0.4% -9.2% 35% 35% -4.1%
≤30d 147 -9.3% -17.9% 30% 29% -8.1%
≤90d 243 -6.2% -15.1% 31% 30% -9.3%
all 243 -6.2% -15.1% 31% 30% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.1% 30% -9.3%
10% -23.2% 30% -18.0%
15% -30.7% 29% -25.9%
20% -37.5% 27% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $526.73 · official $551.09 · 867 history records