Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:17:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb83…1e50
sports · 168 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$24,481 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20,361 · open −$4,121
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 122 History 407 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20,361
7 days−$20,361
14 days−$20,361
30 days−$20,361
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $12,535 $12,503 −$32 (-0%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 52¢ 54¢ $9,034 $9,294 +$261 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage ex-RUBY 63¢ 86¢ $5,447 $7,520 +$2,073 (+38%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ 38¢ $9,990 $7,332 −$2,658 (-27%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $7,544 $7,317 −$227 (-3%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 51¢ 52¢ $6,103 $6,310 +$207 (+3%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $5,383 $5,380 −$3 (-0%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? No 52¢ 52¢ $5,203 $5,153 −$50 (-1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 57¢ 60¢ $4,377 $4,554 +$177 (+4%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 93¢ 94¢ $4,445 $4,505 +$60 (+1%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 68¢ 87¢ $3,166 $4,047 +$880 (+28%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 51¢ 100¢ $1,723 $3,349 +$1,625 (+94%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 62¢ 62¢ $3,159 $3,116 −$43 (-1%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 75¢ 76¢ $2,722 $2,722 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? No 33¢ 32¢ $1,948 $1,919 −$29 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 74¢ 74¢ $1,553 $1,564 +$11 (+1%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Under 24¢ 22¢ $1,671 $1,544 −$127 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 48¢ 48¢ $1,387 $1,385 −$2 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 39¢ 38¢ $1,372 $1,307 −$65 (-5%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? No $1,285 $1,214 −$71 (-6%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 57¢ 66¢ $1,020 $1,200 +$180 (+18%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $1,177 $1,184 +$7 (+1%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Over 50¢ 50¢ $1,117 $1,117 +$0 (+0%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 80¢ 81¢ $989 $1,007 +$18 (+2%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 24¢ 24¢ $796 $811 +$16 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $60 +$48 +80%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Jana Kovackova vs Amandine Monnot Jun 12 $29 +$2 +6%
HSBC Championships: Mika Stojsavljevic vs Marta Kostyuk Jun 12 $51 −$20 -40%
Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 4 Winner Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Omega vs TDK - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$2 -18%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $6 −$2 -40%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
CF Pachuca vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Will Iwaki FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Rosenborg BK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +49%
Spread: Smouha SC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will RCA Zemamra vs. Olympic Dcheira end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Mexico vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +79%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Maria Lourdes Car Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Konyaspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +10%
Gainare Tottori vs. Giravanz Kitakyūshū: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +16%
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Tunis: Kimmer Coppejans vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Jun 12 $0 $0 +178%
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 +$8,270 +7891170%
LoL: Once Upon A Team vs mCon esports (BO5) - Road Of Legends Playoffs Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Seattle Mariners vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Montevideo City Torque vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1,057 −$1,057 -100%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jun 12 $120 −$120 -100%
Will América FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Ceará SC win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
ITF Bol: Miriam Bulgaru vs Iva Primorac Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
ITF Sumter: Martina Okalova vs Sahaja Yamalapalli Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Galorys vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Rec Jun 12 $333 −$333 -100%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Reci Jun 12 $461 −$461 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs GLYPH - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $85 −$85 -100%
Map Handicap: FOKUS (-1.5) vs Ursa (+1.5) Jun 12 $372 −$372 -100%
CA Boca Juniors vs. CD Universidad Católica: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 55% −$1,217
other 45% +$11,070
crypto 0% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $3 0m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $3 0m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $3 0m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $28 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 38¢ $14 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 38¢ $2 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 38¢ $16 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 38¢ $28 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 40¢ $3 1m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 40¢ $4 1m
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY FURIA 49¢ $12 2m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $3 2m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $1 2m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $141 2m
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $2 3m
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $2 3m
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $2 3m
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 30¢ $4 3m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $28 3m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $28 4m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 4m
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 47¢ $6 4m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $20 5m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $27 5m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 22¢ $28 6m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $30 7m
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers BUY Kia Tigers 56¢ $3 7m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 69¢ $32 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $712 7m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $3 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-57.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 407 -53.0% -57.5% 17% 15% -34.0%
≤30d 407 -53.0% -57.5% 17% 15% -34.0%
≤90d 407 -53.0% -57.5% 17% 15% -34.0%
all 407 -53.0% -57.5% 17% 15% -34.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3414.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.5% 15% -34.0%
10% ← realistic here -61.6% 13% -40.3%
15% -65.3% 11% -46.1%
20% -68.7% 9% -51.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $116,626.22 · official $116,616.22 (match) · 3500 history records