Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:23:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb85…152f
sports · 483 markets active 8h ago
0.0score
−$27,092 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31,919 · open +$4,827
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$39,827
Realized−$31,919
Unrealized+$4,827
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses193 / 288
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$58,910
Open positions2
Markets (closed)481 / 483
Avg bet$11,252
Trades / day17.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 481 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$20,734
7 days+$111,596
14 days−$64,630
30 days+$210,250
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 60¢ $25,000 $30,612 +$5,612 (+22%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Under 50¢ 46¢ $10,000 $9,215 −$785 (-8%)
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 24¢ 0¢ $9,854 $0 −$9,854 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 58¢ 0¢ $5,799 $0 −$5,799 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $4,300 $0 −$4,300 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 36¢ 0¢ $10,414 $0 −$10,414 (-100%)
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-03? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card) Deiveson Figueiredo 19¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $25,000 $0 −$25,000 (-100%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Netherlands 57¢ 0¢ $2,032 $0 −$2,032 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 27¢ 0¢ $4,084 $0 −$4,084 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 53¢ 0¢ $20,000 $0 −$20,000 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $100,000 $0 −$100,000 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Over 28¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $5,000 $0 −$5,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 54¢ 0¢ $10,800 $0 −$10,800 (-100%)
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 51¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5 Under 42¢ 0¢ $2,000 $0 −$2,000 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 219.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) SC Braga 38¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Juan Manuel Cerundolo 42¢ 0¢ $3,502 $0 −$3,502 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Legacy 40¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $71,302 +$112,909 +158%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $52,465 +$19,999 +38%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $20,336 −$20,000 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $15,265 −$15,000 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $10,158 −$10,000 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $514 −$500 -97%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $3,065 −$3,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $21,022 +$10,691 +51%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $21,022 +$10,724 +51%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $15,793 +$10,522 +67%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $10,509 −$10,000 -95%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $101,509 +$99,764 +98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,174 −$3,000 -94%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7,421 +$7,625 +103%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $20,282 −$20,000 -99%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 10 $20,294 −$20,000 -99%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $50,795 −$50,000 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 10 $101,491 −$100,000 -98%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $1,195 +$1,998 +167%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $20,282 +$17,454 +86%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 10 $15,243 −$15,000 -98%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 10 $5,087 −$5,000 -98%
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? Jun 10 $3,060 −$3,000 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $25,374 −$25,000 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $15,222 −$15,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15,216 +$14,233 +94%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 09 $10,134 −$9,991 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $10,138 −$10,000 -99%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $10,156 +$10,677 +105%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5,062 +$3,456 +68%
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5) Jun 09 $15,314 −$15,000 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $5,120 +$19,880 +388%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 Jun 09 $4,140 +$6,812 +165%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 09 $5,056 +$2,889 +57%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 09 $15,225 −$15,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $15,242 −$15,000 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $141,138 +$154,456 +109%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Jun 09 $30,473 +$32,740 +107%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 08 $25,457 −$25,000 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 08 $25,366 −$24,976 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 08 $157 −$155 -98%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 08 $25,371 −$25,000 -98%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $1,234 −$1,222 -99%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $2,049 −$2,032 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $15,870 −$15,000 -94%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10,803 −$10,414 -96%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20,360 +$29,640 +146%
Map Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 08 $9,403 −$9,400 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $20,329 −$20,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15,234 +$16,016 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 73% −$130,729
other 26% +$120,637
world 0% −$17,000
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $50,930 7h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 44¢ $20,336 10h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 41¢ $15,265 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox BUY Chicago White Sox 49¢ $25,382 10h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 50¢ $10,150 10h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 47¢ $10,158 10h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $514 10h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 28¢ $3,065 10h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $20,372 10h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $52,465 14h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 63¢ $21,022 16h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Aurora Gaming 63¢ $21,022 17h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $10,509 17h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 40¢ $3,174 20h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 57¢ $15,793 20h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 50¢ $53,449 29h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY BetBoom Team 49¢ $48,061 29h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 47¢ $7,421 31h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 53¢ $20,282 45h
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 51¢ $20,294 45h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $50,795 45h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 50¢ $86,854 45h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 BUY Over 52¢ $14,636 45h
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres BUY San Diego Padres 46¢ $15,243 2d
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Philadelphia Phillies 42¢ $5,087 2d
Will Iraq vs. Venezuela end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $3,060 2d
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) BUY Argentina 37¢ $1,195 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 50¢ $21,705 2d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Milwaukee Brewers 51¢ $3,668 2d
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 BUY Under 51¢ $15,222 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 85 -14.3% -22.5% 42% 42% -3.4%
≤30d 203 -10.0% -18.5% 43% 43% -3.4%
≤90d 481 -14.4% -22.6% 40% 40% -9.9%
all 481 -14.4% -22.6% 40% 40% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.2 tr/day
realistic slip~14%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.6% 40% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -30.0% 40% -18.5%
15% -36.7% 39% -26.4%
20% -42.9% 37% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $39,827.16 · official $39,827.16 (match) · 1574 history records