Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:22:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdb90…1d96 crypto 191 markets active 1d ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$44 (-7%) realized −$44 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate52%99W / 92L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day4.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$17
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-22.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 -8.1% -16.9% 57% 57% -3.9%
≤30d 72 -13.2% -21.5% 54% 54% -10.2%
≤90d 191 -13.8% -22.0% 52% 51% -14.9%
all 191 -13.8% -22.0% 52% 51% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.0% 51% -14.9%
10% -29.5% 51% -23.0%
15% -36.3% 43% -30.5%
20% -42.5% 30% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -14% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -17% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.75 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses99 / 92
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 191
History coverage62d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 191 Trades
no open positions (78 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 16 $4 −$3 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 16 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 16 $2 +$3 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 15 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 15 $3 −$2 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 30h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 32h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 345 history records