Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T20:19:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.0
score
DB 0xdb91…7db6 sports 404 markets active 9d ago coverage 146d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,315 (+2%) realized +$1,315 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR51%break-even
Win rate56%225W / 179L
Whale WR75%big bets
Drawdown96%max
Avg bet$136per market
Trades / day6.0pace
Fees−$245est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$155
30 days−$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 98% +$1,157
crypto 1% −$48
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 7 -14.9% -23.0% 43% 43% -44.4%
≤90d 131 +7.6% -2.7% 56% 53% -4.2%
all 404 +0.9% -8.7% 56% 51% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 51% -7.7%
10% -17.5% 42% -16.5%
15% -25.4% 34% -24.6%
20% -32.7% 25% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +6% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
8% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 75% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +2% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$88 vs −$104 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.06 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

146d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,315
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses225 / 179
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$245
Open positions0
Markets (closed)404 / 404
History coverage146d
Avg bet$136
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 404 Trades
no open positions (152 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $57 −$55 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $308 −$300 -97%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $150 +$99 +66%
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner May 27 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $48 +$96 +199%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner May 25 $101 +$31 +30%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner May 03 $204 −$200 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner May 03 $203 −$200 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner May 03 $184 −$180 -98%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner May 03 $101 +$37 +37%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 02 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 02 $51 +$155 +303%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 02 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner May 02 $102 +$12 +12%
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff Apr 30 $204 +$178 +88%
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Apr 30 $201 +$65 +32%
LoL: Shifters vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifie Apr 30 $201 +$7 +4%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qual Apr 29 $304 +$80 +26%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $101 +$44 +43%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $102 −$100 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $87 −$11 -13%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner Apr 29 $101 +$33 +33%
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Apr 29 $101 −$100 -99%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $50 +$10 +20%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $100 +$29 +29%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $300 +$229 +76%
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $371 +$53 +14%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $165 −$15 -9%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $37 +$47 +128%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $330 +$7 +2%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 25 $150 −$49 -33%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $179 +$88 +49%
LoL: Fnatic vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $100 −$99 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $60 −$58 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Apr 25 $150 +$50 +34%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Apr 25 $20 −$20 -98%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 24 $362 +$48 +13%
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $54 +$24 +44%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner Apr 24 $90 +$43 +47%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $100 +$36 +36%
LoL: Shifters vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Apr 24 $48 +$8 +16%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $168 +$86 +51%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $200 −$194 -97%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winner Apr 24 $100 −$98 -98%
LoL: Oh My God vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $100 −$98 -98%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Apr 24 $70 −$69 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Vitality.Bee (BO1) - LFL Regular Season Apr 23 $70 +$64 +91%
LoL: Gen.G vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Apr 23 $100 +$199 +199%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 8¢ $57 9d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 18¢ $51 9d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 35¢ $51 9d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 4¢ $103 15d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 10¢ $103 15d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 8¢ $103 15d
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner SELL Karmine Corp 100¢ $249 21d
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 48¢ $49 21d
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp 67¢ $101 21d
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 30¢ $102 26d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 86¢ $123 26d
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 29¢ $48 26d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner SELL G2 Esports 100¢ $131 28d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 4 Winner BUY G2 Esports 76¢ $101 28d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 35¢ $204 50d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 44¢ $203 50d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 10¢ $83 50d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 38¢ $102 50d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner SELL Shifters 94¢ $138 50d
LoL: Team Heretics vs Shifters - Game 1 Winner BUY Shifters 68¢ $101 50d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season BUY SK Gaming 50¢ $51 51d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL SK Gaming 99¢ $206 51d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY SK Gaming 24¢ $51 51d
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY SK Gaming 25¢ $102 51d
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner SELL Team Heretics 36¢ $114 51d
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Heretics - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics 31¢ $102 51d
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff SELL Solary 75¢ $382 53d
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner SELL Galions 100¢ $266 53d
LoL: SK Gaming vs Galions - Game 2 Winner BUY Galions 75¢ $201 53d
LoL: Fnatic vs Solary (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoff BUY Solary 39¢ $204 53d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 908 history records