trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 13? | No | 83¢ | 86¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: Scotland O/U 2.5 | Over | 29¢ | 30¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Switzerland | 32¢ | 34¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 | Over | 72¢ | 74¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Spread: Knicks (-2.5) | Knicks | 31¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Brazil to win the second half? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 | Over | 25¢ | 24¢ | $10 | $9 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) | Switzerland | 17¢ | 16¢ | $9 | $9 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Ghana vs. Panama: Ghana O/U 2.5 | Over | 16¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-8%) |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Colorado Rockies | 29¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Under | 76¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) | Los Angeles Angels | 35¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Yes | 13¢ | 0¢ | $9 | $0 | −$9 (-100%) |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Under | 80¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$3 | +26% |
| Spread: Athletics (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$6 | +60% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | +$15 | +152% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 13 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays | Jun 13 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$9 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 43% | 43% | -27.6% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 43% | 43% | -27.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 43% | 43% | -27.6% |
| all | 14 | -20.5% | -28.1% | 43% | 43% | -27.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -28.1% | 43% | -27.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -35.0% | 43% | -34.5% |
| 15% | -41.3% | 36% | -40.8% |
| 20% | -47.0% | 29% | -46.6% |