Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:26:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb95…e9c6
crypto · 1000 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$157 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$182 · open +$25
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$25
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses664 / 335
Open positions1
Markets (closed)999 / 1000
History coverage41d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day36.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 999 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$45
14 days+$10
30 days−$60
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 9¢ 58¢ $4 $29 +$25 (+550%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+42%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+85%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 54¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+84%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+79%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 74¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +241%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$11 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$12 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$14 +308%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$23 +544%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$14 +385%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$15 +334%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$11 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $19 +$8 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $12 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 09 $18 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $16 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 09 $22 +$12 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $19 −$4 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 09 $8 −$5 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $16 +$7 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 09 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$157
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $16 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)+17.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 +169.0% +143.4% 44% 44% +2.1%
≤30d 540 +59.4% +44.2% 66% 65% -12.8%
≤90d 999 +29.4% +17.1% 66% 65% -13.2%
all 999 +29.4% +17.1% 66% 65% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +17.1% 65% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here +5.9% 57% -21.5%
15% -4.3% 32% -29.1%
20% -13.7% 14% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.81 · official $31.53 · 1946 history records