Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:12:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb96…3d01
crypto · 13 markets active 0h ago
3.0score
+$2 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses7 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day30.0
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $0 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -6.9% -15.8% 54% 54% +4.9%
≤30d 13 -6.9% -15.8% 54% 54% +4.9%
≤90d 13 -6.9% -15.8% 54% 54% +4.9%
all 13 -6.9% -15.8% 54% 54% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 54% +4.9%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 46% -5.2%
15% -31.2% 23% -14.3%
20% -37.9% 23% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records