Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:50:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdb97…eee8
other · 162 markets active 7h ago
5.5score
+$32,845 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37,173 · open −$4,344
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$19,179
Realized+$37,173
Unrealized−$4,344
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses60 / 51
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions51
Markets (closed)111 / 162
Avg bet$623
Trades / day1.2
Drawdown16%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 51 History 111 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$10
14 days+$1,376
30 days+$2,773
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? No 61¢ 44¢ $3,652 $2,640 −$1,012 (-28%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Yes 71¢ 76¢ $2,257 $2,448 +$191 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No 53¢ 30¢ $3,171 $1,800 −$1,371 (-43%)
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes 54¢ 25¢ $3,331 $1,550 −$1,781 (-53%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Yes 51¢ 60¢ $1,012 $1,200 +$188 (+19%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 72¢ 88¢ $924 $1,126 +$202 (+22%)
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 86¢ 58¢ $1,265 $857 −$408 (-32%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $735 $722 −$13 (-2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $680 $678 −$2 (-0%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $440 $450 +$10 (+2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $424 $422 −$2 (-0%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? Yes 31¢ 39¢ $314 $390 +$76 (+24%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $356 $354 −$2 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 9¢ $348 $342 −$6 (-2%)
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? Yes 88¢ 79¢ $362 $325 −$38 (-10%)
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 69¢ 66¢ $235 $226 −$8 (-4%)
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? No 77¢ 74¢ $231 $222 −$9 (-4%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $208 $206 −$2 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $198 $196 −$2 (-1%)
Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $192 $190 −$2 (-1%)
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $188 $188 −$1 (-0%)
Will Sweden advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 61¢ 62¢ $183 $184 +$2 (+1%)
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 59¢ 57¢ $165 $160 −$5 (-3%)
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 56¢ 53¢ $168 $159 −$9 (-5%)
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $152 $150 −$2 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $48 +$52 +109%
Will MrBeast hit 500 million subscribers by June 30? Jun 09 $48 +$30 +63%
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angele Jun 09 $1,187 +$399 +34%
Will one Democratic Party candidate and one Republican Party candidate Jun 08 $669 +$107 +16%
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec Jun 08 $409 +$180 +44%
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 08 $56 −$55 -97%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 08 $212 +$130 +61%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $53 +$31 +60%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $51 +$48 +93%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 07 $51 +$30 +60%
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 202 Jun 06 $296 −$250 -84%
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary Jun 06 $697 −$693 -100%
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor prima Jun 04 $95 +$41 +44%
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Jun 04 $61 −$27 -43%
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $129 −$78 -60%
Will a candidate win the 2026 Colombian presidential election in the f Jun 04 $1,116 +$151 +14%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 03 $13 −$11 -85%
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral El Jun 03 $244 +$276 +113%
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary elec Jun 02 $38 −$38 -99%
Will MrBeast hit 497 million subscribers by June 30? Jun 02 $1,008 +$156 +16%
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Jun 01 $1,253 +$118 +9%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublev Jun 01 $18 +$22 +119%
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid May 31 $194 −$167 -86%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonseca May 31 $32 −$32 -99%
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $51 +$43 +86%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $202 +$148 +73%
UFC Fight Night: Sergei Pavlovich vs. Tallison Teixeira (Heavyweight, May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Ken Paxton win the Texas Republican Senate Primary runoff by 9% o May 29 $3,985 +$778 +20%
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? May 29 $64 +$8 +12%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 29 $18 +$12 +65%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon May 29 $33 −$32 -99%
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? May 27 $1,631 +$57 +4%
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? May 27 $945 +$58 +6%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? May 26 $390 +$258 +66%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 26 $21 +$16 +77%
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the May 25 $136 +$72 +53%
Roland Garros ATP: Stan Wawrinka vs Arthur Fils May 24 $20 +$28 +136%
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 22 $11 −$11 -98%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? May 22 $171 −$167 -98%
Will Hull City achieve promotion from the EFL Championship to the Engl May 20 $147 −$145 -99%
Will SC Paderborn achieve promotion from Bundesliga 2 to the Bundeslig May 20 $70 −$70 -99%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $343 +$157 +46%
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? May 20 $1,739 +$1,024 +59%
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? May 20 $3,827 +$796 +21%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be at least 600k? May 18 $190 −$164 -86%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 550k and 600k? May 18 $110 −$67 -61%
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? May 18 $205 −$181 -88%
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Mai May 17 $34 +$26 +76%
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano May 17 $666 +$141 +21%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May? May 16 $27 −$26 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 56% +$35,248
politics 23% +$1,838
crypto 12% −$4,289
tech 4% +$429
sports 4% −$221
world 1% +$310
culture 1% −$412
finance 0% −$75
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 55¢ $29 7h
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 55¢ $0 10h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 53¢ $156 11h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 48¢ $151 11h
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? BUY No 77¢ $233 11h
Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 32¢ $98 11h
Will Colombia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 55¢ $33 11h
Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 56¢ $170 11h
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 33¢ $11 11h
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 32¢ $28 11h
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 31¢ $10 11h
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $18 11h
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $51 11h
Will Switzerland reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $122 11h
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car BUY Diego Lopes 60¢ $43 11h
Will Ilia Topuria win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 70¢ $71 11h
O/U 1.5 Rounds BUY Under 50¢ $61 11h
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) BUY Ciryl Gane 50¢ $51 11h
Will Uzbekistan finish last in Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou BUY No 52¢ $52 11h
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C BUY No 59¢ $18 11h
Will Australia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C BUY No 59¢ $60 11h
Will Australia finish last in Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group BUY No 52¢ $8 11h
Will Saudi Arabia finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Gr BUY No 58¢ $87 11h
Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 33¢ $50 11h
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 47¢ $72 11h
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 36¢ $55 11h
Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 43¢ $66 11h
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup? BUY Yes 38¢ $155 11h
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 69¢ $237 11h
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 47¢ $143 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +21.5% +10.0% 75% 75% -9.3%
≤30d 55 -4.0% -13.1% 60% 55% +1.0%
≤90d 68 -12.8% -21.1% 54% 50% -5.2%
all 111 -2.9% -12.2% 54% 50% +34.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.2% 50% +34.8%
10% -20.6% 41% +21.9%
15% -28.2% 38% +10.2%
20% -35.3% 28% -0.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19,178.56 · official $19,178.60 (match) · 796 history records