trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +66.7% | +50.8% | 100% | 100% | +50.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +18.3% | +7.0% | 75% | 75% | +49.9% |
| ≤90d | 35 | +10.2% | -0.3% | 54% | 54% | -11.4% |
| all | 162 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 52% | 52% | -23.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.4% | 52% | -23.0% |
| 10% | -24.4% | 46% | -30.4% |
| 15% | -31.7% | 36% | -37.1% |
| 20% | -38.4% | 31% | -43.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | Yes | 86¢ | 44¢ | $95 | $48 | −$47 (-49%) |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 23¢ | 3¢ | $10 | $1 | −$9 (-86%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft? | Jun 24 | $60 | +$40 | +67% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 05 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $112 | +$38 | +33% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $1,501 | +$1,099 | +73% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | May 16 | $15 | +$22 | +146% |
| Will Sacramento Kings receive the first overall pick at the 2026 NBA D | May 11 | $132 | +$17 | +12% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09? | May 09 | $70 | +$30 | +43% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | May 03 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $10 | +$17 | +165% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 01 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | May 01 | $20 | +$22 | +109% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02? | Apr 30 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 30 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 30 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? | Apr 30 | $600 | +$400 | +67% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 27 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Apr 26 | $9 | +$11 | +113% |
| Will Arsenal win a trophy this season? | Apr 26 | $2,500 | −$2,500 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 25 | $4 | +$6 | +122% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET | Apr 25 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | Apr 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | Apr 25 | $1 | +$2 | +154% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 23 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-22? | Apr 22 | $100 | +$16 | +16% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 22 | $670 | −$670 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? | Apr 19 | $1,530 | +$1,400 | +92% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-15? | Apr 16 | $150 | +$115 | +77% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 13 | $46 | +$52 | +114% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-12? | Apr 12 | $27 | −$2 | -6% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings have the worst record in the NBA? | Apr 12 | $74 | −$74 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11? | Apr 12 | $50 | +$103 | +206% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 11 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 05 | $80 | +$139 | +174% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-04? | Apr 04 | $50 | +$39 | +79% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Vikings | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Warriors | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Amir Albazi (Flyweight, Main Card | Mar 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Spurs | Mar 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Nuggets | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Heat | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07? | Mar 23 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Mavericks | Mar 23 | $22 | −$22 | -100% |