Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T10:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdbb8…37f3 crypto 757 markets active 0h ago coverage 51d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$35 (-0%) realized −$35 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate75%564W / 193L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$39per market
Trades / day30.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$183
7 days−$599
14 days−$501
30 days−$368
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$390
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 95 -14.5% -22.7% 61% 44% -31.8%
≤30d 469 -0.9% -10.4% 75% 40% -10.9%
≤90d 757 -2.2% -11.6% 75% 49% -10.7%
all 757 -2.2% -11.6% 75% 49% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 49% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 29% -19.3%
15% -27.7% 13% -27.1%
20% -34.8% 6% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -2% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$16 · ×0.3 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.87 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses564 / 193
Open positions0
Markets (closed)757 / 757
History coverage51d
Avg bet$39
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 757 Trades
no open positions (97 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 26 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 26 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 26 $106 −$105 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 26 $101 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 26 $126 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 26 $21 +$16 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 26 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 26 $152 −$25 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 26 $105 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 26 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 26 $10 +$2 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 26 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 26 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 26 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 26 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 26 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 25 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$4 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 24 $5 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 24 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 24 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 24 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 24 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 24 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 24 $110 −$55 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 24 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 24 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 24 $126 −$126 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 24 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $24 +$18 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 23 $24 −$24 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $30 +$7 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 23 $6 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $108 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $101 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $25 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $104 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $135 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $101 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $107 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2122 history records