Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DB 0xdbd6…ffdd crypto 291 markets active 2d ago coverage 15d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (85 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$32 (-1%) realized −$32 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate67%195W / 96L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$13per market
Trades / day85.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$99
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$107
world 1% −$4
other 0% +$3
sports 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (85 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 +1.0% -8.6% 69% 33% -10.8%
≤30d 291 -2.3% -11.6% 67% 35% -11.8%
≤90d 291 -2.3% -11.6% 67% 35% -11.8%
all 291 -2.3% -11.6% 67% 35% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover85.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 35% -11.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 16% -20.3%
15% -27.8% 9% -28.0%
20% -34.8% 6% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
46% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late +4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$4 · ×0.37 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.76 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

15d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses195 / 96
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)291 / 291
History coverage15d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day85.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 291 Trades
no open positions (24 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 18 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 18 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $31 −$27 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 18 $45 +$14 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 18 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 18 $49 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 18 $31 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 18 $48 −$42 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 18 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 18 $27 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 18 $16 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 18 $21 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 18 $14 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 18 $17 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $22 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$6 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 18 $25 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 18 $25 −$3 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 18 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 18 $11 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 18 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 18 $12 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 18 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $17 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $11 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 17 $24 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 17 $32 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $35 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 17 $63 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 17 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $53 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 17 $22 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $31 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $14 $0 -2%
Will England win on 2026-06-17? Jun 17 $12 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 17 $10 −$4 -39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 27¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 76¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $31 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $7 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $2 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $11 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $27 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $5 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $11 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $6 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $26 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $24 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $3 38h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1548 history records