Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:52:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbdd…a5de
sports · 816 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$15,020 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14,916 · open +$299
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 90 History 752 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8,320
7 days+$14,916
14 days+$14,916
30 days+$14,916
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Kia Tigers Doosan Bears 49¢ 50¢ $955 $985 +$29 (+3%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 63¢ 55¢ $988 $858 −$130 (-13%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner MARKandLARRY 11¢ 100¢ $90 $853 +$763 (+849%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner FURIA 60¢ 100¢ $387 $648 +$261 (+67%)
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 1 Winner Pandawa Lima 21¢ 100¢ $105 $505 +$400 (+382%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner TheMongolz 68¢ 100¢ $230 $337 +$107 (+47%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 39¢ 44¢ $197 $219 +$22 (+11%)
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Vladyslav Orlov 77¢ 80¢ $174 $180 +$6 (+4%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 70¢ 93¢ $127 $169 +$42 (+33%)
Cristian vs. Boulter: Match O/U 22.5 Under 69¢ 61¢ $139 $122 −$17 (-12%)
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 2 Winner Pandawa Lima 12¢ 22¢ $60 $110 +$50 (+83%)
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Maria 54¢ 88¢ $58 $94 +$36 (+62%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 84¢ 98¢ $74 $87 +$13 (+17%)
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) TheMongolz 59¢ 90¢ $48 $74 +$25 (+53%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group A Abyssal 62¢ 76¢ $55 $68 +$13 (+24%)
Tomljanovic vs. Yastremska: Match O/U 22.5 Under 58¢ 31¢ $116 $63 −$53 (-46%)
Llaneros FC vs. CA Bucaramanga: O/U 3.5 Under 84¢ 85¢ $58 $59 +$1 (+1%)
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Rwanda vs Nigeria Nigeria 33¢ 18¢ $102 $55 −$47 (-46%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Under 65¢ 51¢ $58 $45 −$12 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner DXA Esports 37¢ 100¢ $16 $42 +$26 (+169%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions Samsung Lions 58¢ 28¢ $79 $39 −$40 (-51%)
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Open Qualifier 2 Playoffs Game Master 76¢ 100¢ $23 $30 +$7 (+31%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B Ding Cuts 58¢ 52¢ $29 $26 −$3 (-10%)
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Kiwoom Heroes 38¢ 20¢ $38 $20 −$18 (-47%)
ITF Varnamo: Gilles Arnaud Bailly vs Aristotelis Thanos Aristotelis Thanos 24¢ 100¢ $2 $10 +$8 (+315%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Set 1 Winner: Arseneault vs Kuzmova Jun 12 $31 +$19 +62%
ITF Monastir: Lourdes Ayala vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 12 $26 +$25 +96%
ITF kiseljak: Matias Ponce De Leon Gomila vs Kirill Kivattsev Jun 12 $54 −$48 -87%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Mia Horvit vs Emma Ottavia Ghirardato Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic Jun 12 $282 +$285 +101%
Set 1 Winner: Santiago vs Maquet Jun 12 $34 +$3 +9%
ITF Hurghada: Viktoria Morvayova vs Martyna Kubka Jun 12 $508 +$96 +19%
ITF Tokyo: Kayo Nishimura vs Mao Mushika Jun 12 $50 +$24 +47%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Sara Milanese Jun 12 $1,796 +$421 +24%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Yujia Huang Jun 12 $14 +$1 +6%
ITF Wuning: Varvara Panshina vs Sara Saito Jun 12 $3,463 +$1,125 +32%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Grey Trac (BO3) - The International China Ope Jun 12 $6 +$2 +42%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $613 +$426 +70%
Dota 2: Game Master vs Grey Trac - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $21 +$1 +7%
Dota 2: Cloud Dawning vs Grey Trac - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $128 +$121 +95%
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Thanapet Chanta Jun 12 $3,520 −$3,472 -99%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $1,078 −$878 -81%
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 12 $46 +$34 +73%
ITF Tokyo: Ikumi Yamazaki vs Natsuki Yoshimoto Jun 12 $11 +$10 +98%
Korea Republic leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1,264 +$409 +32%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $3,468 +$1,273 +37%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $258 +$18 +7%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $33 +$22 +65%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $175 +$75 +43%
Gimnasia vs. Quimsa Jun 12 $281 +$147 +52%
Capitanes de Arecibo vs. Aguada Santeros Jun 12 $48 +$34 +71%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Kosuke Ogura Jun 12 $208 −$206 -99%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 169.5 Jun 12 $1,563 +$1,345 +86%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $1,104 +$396 +36%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $25 +$11 +43%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 12 $51 +$6 +11%
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) Jun 12 $51 +$17 +33%
Yamaguchi vs. Li: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $41 −$4 -10%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $58 +$7 +13%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) Jun 12 $16 −$16 -99%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $655 −$641 -98%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $327 −$319 -97%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $597 +$119 +20%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 173.5 Jun 12 $1,300 −$1,277 -98%
Cangrejeros de Santurce vs. Indios de Mayaguez Jun 12 $40 −$14 -35%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Lehecka/Moutet vs Hanfmann/Struff Jun 12 $1 $0 -5%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ilkley (Doubles): Stevenson/Willis vs Blanchet/Jacquet Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Lucie Havlickova vs Jana Kovackova Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% +$15,555
other 4% −$322
crypto 0% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 60¢ $3 1m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 30¢ $2 3m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 59¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 58¢ $3 4m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 49¢ $2 5m
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria BUY Maria 52¢ $53 6m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 60¢ $3 6m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 60¢ $9 7m
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 BUY Ding Cuts 57¢ $6 8m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 53¢ $3 8m
Dota 2: cincai team vs Pandawa Lima - Game 2 Winner BUY Pandawa Lima 12¢ $62 9m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 60¢ $3 9m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 59¢ $2 9m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 59¢ $8 9m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 62¢ $7 10m
Cristian vs. Boulter: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 71¢ $72 10m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 62¢ $8 10m
ITF Monastir: Sun Min Ha vs Alice Battesti BUY Sun Min Ha 53¢ $3 14m
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Vladyslav Orlov 80¢ $10 14m
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria BUY Maria 81¢ $6 14m
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Vladyslav Orlov 79¢ $4 16m
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY No 33¢ $1 18m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 79¢ $6 20m
Borges vs. Cilic: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 56¢ $6 20m
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Vladyslav Orlov 73¢ $4 22m
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic BUY Vladyslav Orlov 67¢ $3 23m
Cristian vs. Boulter: Match O/U 22.5 BUY Under 68¢ $69 26m
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Noah Schlagenhauf BUY Henry Bernet 70¢ $4 27m
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G BUY Abyssal 68¢ $5 31m
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar BUY Laurence Teunissen $1 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 752 +7.0% -3.2% 53% 50% -0.4%
≤30d 752 +7.0% -3.2% 53% 50% -0.4%
≤90d 752 +7.0% -3.2% 53% 50% -0.4%
all 752 +7.0% -3.2% 53% 50% -0.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover911.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.2% 50% -0.4%
10% ← realistic here -12.4% 45% -10.0%
15% -20.9% 39% -18.7%
20% -28.7% 31% -26.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,807.78 · official $5,807.51 (match) · 3500 history records