Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:40:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DB
0xdbe1…608d
weather · 1475 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$755 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$765 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11,473
Realized−$765
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1442 / 7
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Open positions27
Markets (closed)1449 / 1475
History coverage22d
Avg bet$271
Trades / day92.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 27 History 1449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$931
7 days−$714
14 days−$490
30 days−$764
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $770 $771 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $770 $771 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $770 $770 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $770 $770 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $754 $754 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $747 $747 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $671 $672 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $667 $666 −$1 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $601 $602 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $584 $584 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $551 $551 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 12? No 99¢ 100¢ $424 $426 +$2 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $417 $417 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $405 $405 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $365 $366 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 12? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $346 $348 +$2 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $337 $338 +$1 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $301 $301 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $257 $257 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $231 $231 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $214 $214 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $186 $186 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $169 $169 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $103 $103 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? No 100¢ 100¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 12? Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on May 17? Jun 13 $272 −$272 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12? Jun 13 $511 +$7 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 13 $373 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12? Jun 13 $99 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on June Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? Jun 13 $441 +$3 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 12? Jun 12 $513 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $720 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $50 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $1,540 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $386 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $384 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$5 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $763 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $257 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 12? Jun 12 $373 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $7 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $513 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 12? Jun 12 $397 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 12? Jun 12 $298 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $472 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $409 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on June 12? Jun 12 $361 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 −$770 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $764 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 12? Jun 12 $665 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $447 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $550 +$3 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on June 12? Jun 12 $105 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 12? Jun 12 $171 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $100 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$4 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $220 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$2 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 12? Jun 12 $353 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $417 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on June 12? Jun 12 $770 +$1 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $279 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% −$472
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $214 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju BUY Yes 100¢ $551 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 80°F or higher on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $186 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $584 1h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $667 2h
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $103 2h
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $99 3h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $25 3h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $417 3h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $257 3h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $169 3h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $601 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $405 3h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $365 3h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $770 3h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $61 4h
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $26 4h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June BUY Yes 99¢ $346 4h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June BUY No 99¢ $424 4h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $39 4h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $715 4h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? BUY No 100¢ $770 4h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju BUY No 100¢ $747 4h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 100¢ $23 4h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $770 4h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June BUY No 100¢ $48 5h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June BUY No 100¢ $722 5h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $44 6h
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 12? BUY Yes 100¢ $293 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 525 -0.4% -9.9% 99% 0% -9.9%
≤30d 1449 -0.2% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 1449 -0.2% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.7%
all 1449 -0.2% -9.7% 100% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.3% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11,472.67 · official $11,472.67 (match) · 3500 history records