Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T15:01:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc09…5682 crypto 79 markets active 0h ago coverage 7d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$41 (-5%) realized −$41 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -17% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -31% what you keep after slip
Net edge-31%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate48%38W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day18.5pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 7d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 92% −$51
sports 7% −$36
other 1% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-24.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 79 -16.9% -24.8% 48% 42% -20.1%
≤30d 79 -16.9% -24.8% 48% 42% -20.1%
≤90d 79 -16.9% -24.8% 48% 42% -20.1%
all 79 -16.9% -24.8% 48% 42% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover18.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.8% 42% -20.1%
10% -32.0% 35% -27.8%
15% -38.5% 34% -34.8%
20% -44.6% 28% -41.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 18% · top 2 35% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
13% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -17% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -24% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$7 vs −$8 · ×0.79 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.73 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$41
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses38 / 41
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day18.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 79 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $10 +$5 +52%
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 17 $20 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 17 $26 +$10 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 17 $16 −$5 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 17 $21 +$10 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $5 −$4 -84%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 15 $5 +$19 +365%
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Mai Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $5 −$5 -98%
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Jun 15 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$46 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$20 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$5 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$17 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 6m
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 11h
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $3 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $6 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $23 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $20 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 66¢ $17 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $30 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $28 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 146 history records