trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -28.6% | -35.4% | 25% | 0% | -31.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -32.5% | -38.9% | 44% | 11% | -34.9% |
| ≤90d | 62 | -12.0% | -20.4% | 60% | 42% | -11.6% |
| all | 111 | -13.1% | -21.4% | 62% | 50% | -13.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.4% | 50% | -13.9% |
| 10% | -28.9% | 16% | -22.1% |
| 15% | -35.8% | 6% | -29.7% |
| 20% | -42.1% | 5% | -36.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 91¢ | 90¢ | $91 | $90 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | No | 99¢ | 100¢ | $49 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 84¢ | 86¢ | $34 | $35 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $36 | −$5 | -15% |
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $123 | −$120 | -98% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $171 | −$10 | -6% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $188 | +$12 | +6% |
| LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 31 | $46 | +$4 | +8% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May? | May 26 | $71 | +$9 | +13% |
| New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals | May 25 | $93 | −$92 | -98% |
| Will Pisa SC win on 2026-05-24? | May 23 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in May 2026? | May 21 | $249 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 20 | $173 | −$172 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-24? | May 20 | $118 | −$115 | -98% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-19? | May 19 | $224 | +$76 | +34% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 15 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11? | May 11 | $161 | +$39 | +24% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 09 | $98 | −$96 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $123 | +$77 | +62% |
| Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-07? | May 07 | $247 | +$53 | +21% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | May 04 | $352 | −$350 | -100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | May 04 | $3 | −$3 | -96% |
| Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-05-03? | May 03 | $299 | +$51 | +17% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02? | May 01 | $159 | −$158 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs | May 01 | $218 | −$216 | -99% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 01 | $117 | +$3 | +3% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A | May 01 | $233 | +$17 | +7% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $169 | +$31 | +18% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Apr 28 | $181 | +$19 | +11% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 25 | $185 | +$16 | +8% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 22 | $279 | −$277 | -99% |
| Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-21? | Apr 22 | $369 | +$31 | +8% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Apr 20 | $91 | +$10 | +11% |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | Apr 20 | $268 | +$32 | +12% |
| Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16? | Apr 19 | $214 | +$37 | +17% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A | Apr 16 | $274 | +$26 | +10% |
| Magic vs. Celtics | Apr 12 | $45 | −$45 | -100% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | Apr 11 | $356 | −$355 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Raptors | Apr 11 | $43 | −$42 | -97% |
| Mavericks vs. Suns | Apr 11 | $249 | +$49 | +20% |
| Bucks vs. Pistons | Apr 08 | $108 | −$105 | -97% |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans | Apr 07 | $105 | −$102 | -98% |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | Apr 07 | $147 | −$144 | -98% |
| Pacers vs. Cavaliers | Apr 07 | $376 | +$23 | +6% |
| Raptors vs. Celtics | Apr 07 | $405 | +$92 | +23% |
| Jazz vs. Thunder | Apr 05 | $56 | −$54 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Grizzlies | Apr 05 | $270 | +$29 | +11% |
| Canucks vs. Avalanche | Apr 05 | $189 | +$711 | +376% |
| Kings vs. Raptors | Apr 01 | $261 | −$260 | -100% |
| Wizards vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 01 | $184 | +$16 | +9% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29? | Apr 01 | $406 | +$94 | +23% |
| Clippers vs. Bucks | Mar 29 | $130 | −$130 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Hawks | Mar 29 | $315 | +$35 | +11% |