Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T02:23:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc22…a6df crypto 98 markets active 1h ago coverage 120d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$43 (-1%) realized −$43 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -11% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR36%break-even
Win rate49%48W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$32per market
Trades / day3.1pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$39
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days+$13
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$110
other 1% +$19
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 88 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 36% -9.1%
≤30d 88 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 36% -9.1%
≤90d 88 -6.5% -15.4% 51% 36% -9.1%
all 98 -10.9% -19.4% 49% 36% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover3.1 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.4% 36% -12.5%
10% -27.1% 27% -20.9%
15% -34.2% 24% -28.5%
20% -40.6% 21% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 24% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -11% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$12 vs −$13 · ×0.89 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

120d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses48 / 50
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)98 / 98
History coverage120d
Avg bet$32
Trades / day3.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 98 Trades
no open positions (26 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 19 $56 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 19 $112 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 19 $15 +$6 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 19 $106 +$54 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 19 $85 −$53 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 19 $107 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 19 $52 +$48 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 19 $102 +$15 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 19 $107 −$80 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 19 $117 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 19 $43 +$41 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $21 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $74 +$15 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $79 −$27 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $44 +$13 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 18 $91 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 18 $77 −$3 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 18 $62 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 18 $97 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 18 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 18 $31 −$13 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $17 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 18 $24 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 18 $7 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $62 +$12 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 18 $13 −$12 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 18 $14 +$2 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 18 $44 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $10 +$17 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$10 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $52 +$36 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $41 −$40 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 17 $42 +$80 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $63 −$22 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $47 −$5 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $18 +$9 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $25 −$21 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 17 $189 −$36 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $7 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Up 98¢ $57 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $102 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $81 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Up 51¢ $159 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET SELL Up 11¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $91 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $61 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $118 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 414 history records