trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | -10.1% | -18.7% | 50% | 50% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 50% | 50% | -5.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 55% | 50% | -5.0% |
| all | 36 | -2.0% | -11.3% | 53% | 47% | -7.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.3% | 47% | -7.8% |
| 10% | -19.8% | 44% | -16.7% |
| 15% | -27.5% | 36% | -24.7% |
| 20% | -34.7% | 25% | -32.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Algeria | 58¢ | 57¢ | $200 | $198 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Senegal | 61¢ | 58¢ | $200 | $192 | −$8 (-4%) |
| Spread: Norway (-1.5) | Norway | 60¢ | 60¢ | $170 | $169 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $149 | +$101 | +67% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $142 | +$68 | +48% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $62 | +$58 | +93% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $79 | +$79 | +99% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $132 | +$43 | +32% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 | Jun 14 | $118 | +$42 | +36% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 | Jun 14 | $55 | −$54 | -99% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$6 | -97% |
| IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $125 | −$124 | -99% |
| Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $141 | +$59 | +42% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $43 | +$117 | +276% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $261 | +$65 | +25% |
| Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $71 | −$70 | -99% |
| Spread: Sweden (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $127 | −$126 | -99% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 13 | $112 | −$111 | -99% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $66 | −$64 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $183 | +$142 | +78% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $199 | −$17 | -8% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March? | Apr 25 | $1,480 | +$81 | +6% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Mar 28 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 27? | Feb 26 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-02-14? | Feb 11 | $3,000 | +$46 | +2% |
| Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch? | Feb 05 | $300 | −$207 | -69% |
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Feb 05 | $1,000 | −$200 | -20% |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? | Jan 14 | $200 | +$67 | +34% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 05 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Nov 24 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? | Nov 20 | $20 | +$45 | +224% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$5B one day after launch? | Nov 20 | $200 | +$76 | +38% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch? | Nov 20 | $299 | +$65 | +22% |
| Monad market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | Nov 20 | $400 | +$230 | +57% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 09 | $200 | −$110 | -55% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2025? | Nov 01 | $199 | +$196 | +98% |