Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:06:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc38…674a
crypto · 91 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$80 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$94 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized−$94
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses42 / 45
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)87 / 91
History coverage24d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day4.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 4 History 87 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$13
7 days+$13
14 days+$13
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-2%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $20 +$11 +57%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$21 +105%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET May 26 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 25 $5 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 25 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET May 25 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 25 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 25 $2 +$3 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 25 $25 −$24 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 25 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET May 25 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 25 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 25 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 25 $8 −$8 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 25 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 25 $15 +$12 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 25 $16 −$15 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 25 $16 +$14 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 25 $21 +$16 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 25 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 25 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 25 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET May 25 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 25 $10 +$9 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 24 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET May 24 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET May 24 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET May 24 $15 +$11 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET May 24 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET May 24 $10 +$7 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET May 24 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET May 24 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 24 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET May 24 $5 +$6 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET May 24 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET May 24 $15 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET May 24 $10 +$5 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET May 24 $16 +$16 +106%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 86% −$99
other 11% +$12
sports 2% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 38¢ $10 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $10 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $5 4h
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 27¢ $20 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $32 9h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $20 30h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $42 33h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $20 47h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $20 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $20 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $11 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $20 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-25.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 +20.6% +9.1% 67% 67% +9.7%
≤30d 87 -17.2% -25.1% 48% 45% -19.7%
≤90d 87 -17.2% -25.1% 48% 45% -19.7%
all 87 -17.2% -25.1% 48% 45% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.9 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.1% 45% -19.7%
10% -32.2% 44% -27.4%
15% -38.8% 37% -34.4%
20% -44.8% 33% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.31 · official $44.31 (match) · 165 history records