Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:07:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc3f…d02d
crypto · 1550 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$49 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$59
Realized−$47
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses1232 / 293
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions25
Markets (closed)1525 / 1550
History coverage31d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day91.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 25 History 1525 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$2
14 days+$0
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 14? No 95¢ 98¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14? No 96¢ 99¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+3%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? No 95¢ 97¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on June 14? No 93¢ 94¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 14? No 96¢ 96¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 14? No 96¢ 96¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? No 96¢ 96¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 14? No 96¢ 95¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-0%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? No 96¢ 95¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14? No 94¢ 93¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 14? No 96¢ 95¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 14? No 94¢ 93¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 14? No 95¢ 94¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 14? No 96¢ 94¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? No 95¢ 94¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14? No 93¢ 91¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? No 95¢ 91¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 14? No 91¢ 83¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 14? Yes 21¢ 21¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? Yes 42¢ 42¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 14? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? Yes 35¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 14? Yes 21¢ 20¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 13? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? Jun 14 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +7%
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +118%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +9%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $3 $0 +6%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 12? Jun 13 $3 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$35
weather 22% −$3
other 8% −$9
sports 3% −$1
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 14? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 14? BUY Yes 35¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 14? BUY Yes 21¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on Ju BUY Yes 25¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 14? BUY Yes 42¢ $1 5m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on June 14? BUY No 93¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY No 96¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 14? BUY No 94¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14? BUY No 93¢ $3 6m
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $3 33m
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $3 52m
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $3 1h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 13? SELL No 99¢ $3 5h
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C or higher on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 6h
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 14? BUY No 95¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 176 -2.0% -11.3% 93% 5% -10.1%
≤30d 1324 -2.0% -11.4% 83% 8% -11.3%
≤90d 1525 -2.1% -11.4% 81% 7% -11.4%
all 1525 -2.1% -11.4% 81% 7% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover91.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 7% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 3% -19.9%
15% -27.6% 2% -27.6%
20% -34.7% 1% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.42 · official $59.54 (match) · 3500 history records