Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc4a…e4bd
crypto · 889 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$532 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$532 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$532
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses405 / 484
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)889 / 889
History coverage25d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day132.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 889 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$38
14 days−$164
30 days−$532
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$9 +436%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 09 $6 $0 -8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -55%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +3%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $10 $0 -1%
LoL: FN Esports vs Verdant (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage Jun 08 $6 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$532
sports 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 56¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 21¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 9¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 15¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 5h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 3d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Down 83¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-16.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -5.1% -14.2% 40% 26% -14.1%
≤30d 889 -8.1% -16.8% 46% 28% -13.0%
≤90d 889 -8.1% -16.8% 46% 28% -13.0%
all 889 -8.1% -16.8% 46% 28% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.8% 28% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.8% 12% -21.3%
15% -32.0% 8% -28.9%
20% -38.7% 5% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records