Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc4f…4652
sports · 191 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$86,177 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$42,119 · open +$43,995
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$853,028
Realized+$42,119
Unrealized+$43,995
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses89 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$1,876
Open positions66
Markets (closed)126 / 191
Avg bet$10,207
Trades / day34.0
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 66 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2,485
14 days+$8,305
30 days+$60,459
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? No 98¢ 100¢ $310,085 $313,849 +$3,764 (+1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T? No 89¢ 92¢ $263,756 $275,067 +$11,312 (+4%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T? No 93¢ 95¢ $99,479 $101,434 +$1,955 (+2%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 44¢ 81¢ $27,997 $52,160 +$24,163 (+86%)
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No 72¢ 76¢ $14,309 $14,999 +$691 (+5%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? No 98¢ 98¢ $14,883 $14,882 −$1 (-0%)
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes 99¢ 100¢ $13,915 $14,052 +$137 (+1%)
Will Gavin McKenna be drafted 1st overall in the 2026 NHL Draft? Yes 86¢ 95¢ $12,685 $13,877 +$1,192 (+9%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T? No 97¢ 97¢ $11,291 $11,303 +$12 (+0%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T? No 95¢ 96¢ $7,030 $7,112 +$81 (+1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5,000 $4,931 −$69 (-1%)
Will US unemployment reach at least 10.0% in 2026? No 95¢ 98¢ $3,831 $3,919 +$88 (+2%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 54¢ 100¢ $2,001 $3,705 +$1,704 (+85%)
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No 99¢ 100¢ $2,297 $2,310 +$13 (+1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,935 $1,934 −$2 (-0%)
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card) Diego Lopes 60¢ 57¢ $2,000 $1,917 −$83 (-4%)
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No 95¢ 96¢ $1,642 $1,667 +$25 (+2%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 97¢ 97¢ $1,577 $1,564 −$13 (-1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $981 $992 +$12 (+1%)
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No 50¢ 99¢ $500 $992 +$492 (+98%)
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $1,000 $990 −$10 (-1%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 61¢ 80¢ $666 $885 +$220 (+33%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 24¢ 29¢ $500 $614 +$114 (+23%)
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 68¢ 100¢ $373 $550 +$177 (+48%)
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? No 76¢ 88¢ $453 $525 +$72 (+16%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $2,028 +$1,704 +84%
Who will finish higher: Verstappen or Hadjar? Jun 08 $71 −$71 -100%
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Silva vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims) Jun 08 $609 −$609 -100%
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in the US in May? Jun 07 $24 +$1 +4%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 07 $38 +$12 +33%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $48 +$2 +3%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 07 $79 +$21 +27%
Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s French Open? Jun 07 $256 +$64 +25%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Jun 07 $452 +$1 +0%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 07 $506 +$314 +62%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 07 $507 +$403 +79%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $609 +$524 +86%
UFC Fight Night: Brendan Allen vs. Edmen Shahbazyan (Middleweight, Mai Jun 07 $1,011 +$602 +60%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $1,015 +$946 +93%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 07 $1,968 +$47 +2%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 07 $3,060 +$5,686 +186%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $422 +$192 +46%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $172 +$28 +16%
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main C Jun 06 $1,716 −$1,716 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 06 $185 −$185 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 06 $95 −$95 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Shelton Jun 06 $320 −$320 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka Jun 06 $41 −$41 -100%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 06 $7,544 −$7,544 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 06 $211 −$211 -100%
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes Jun 06 $5,841 −$2,145 -37%
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this Jun 06 $13 −$13 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $81 −$81 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev Jun 01 $93 +$7 +7%
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys Jun 01 $912 −$274 -30%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Jun 01 $540 +$39 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: James Duckworth vs Rafael Jodar Jun 01 $639 +$80 +12%
Roland Garros WTA: Magda Linette vs Iga Swiatek Jun 01 $758 +$42 +6%
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek Jun 01 $1,196 +$42 +4%
Roland Garros ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Ben Shelton Jun 01 $1,294 +$206 +16%
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Kaitlin Quevedo Jun 01 $1,792 +$121 +7%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 01 $10,798 +$40 +0%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Jun 01 $1,944 +$579 +30%
Roland Garros ATP: Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev Jun 01 $3,107 +$37 +1%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 01 $2,624 +$3,376 +129%
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the Eastern Conference? Jun 01 $9,321 +$3,087 +33%
Will Iga Świątek win the 2026 Women’s French Open? May 31 $28 −$1 -2%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 30 $2,153 +$5,316 +247%
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Mayar Sherif May 30 $116 +$6 +5%
Roland Garros WTA: Yulia Starodubtseva vs Elena Rybakina May 30 $2,344 −$1,354 -58%
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic May 30 $33 +$46 +140%
Roland Garros WTA: Solana Sierra vs Sorana Cirstea May 30 $49 +$1 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Caty McNally vs Belinda Bencic May 30 $104 +$1 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev May 30 $93 +$7 +7%
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open? May 30 $2,837 +$179 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
economics 44% +$46,694
tech 21% +$13,478
world 17% +$1,715
sports 13% +$17,607
other 3% +$9,071
finance 1% +$2,018
weather 0% +$3,087
crypto 0% −$7,544
culture 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $22 40m
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $662 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $8 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $357 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $141 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $117 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $130 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $114 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $88 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $121 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $126 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $114 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $143 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $2,396 1h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $135 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $0 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $114 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $129 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $122 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $111 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $114 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $110 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $114 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $114 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $16 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $1,302 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $134 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $148 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $115 2h
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? BUY No 99¢ $121 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -11.5% -20.0% 57% 43% -17.3%
≤30d 75 +6.4% -3.7% 75% 39% -4.0%
≤90d 126 +1.0% -8.7% 71% 37% -6.2%
all 126 +1.0% -8.7% 71% 37% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.7% 37% -6.2%
10% -17.4% 26% -15.2%
15% ← realistic here -25.4% 19% -23.4%
20% -32.7% 17% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $853,028.32 · official $853,031.38 (match) · 3500 history records