Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T17:21:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc52…5496 crypto 116 markets active 4d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (174 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$2 (+1%) realized +$2 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate57%66W / 50L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day174.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (174 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 116 -6.0% -14.9% 57% 48% -14.1%
≤30d 116 -6.0% -14.9% 57% 48% -14.1%
≤90d 116 -6.0% -14.9% 57% 48% -14.1%
all 116 -6.0% -14.9% 57% 48% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover174.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 48% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.1% 35% -22.3%
15% -30.5% 28% -29.8%
20% -37.3% 16% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 23% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
15% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +5% → late -17% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$2 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.86 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses66 / 50
Open positions0
Markets (closed)116 / 116
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day174.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 116 Trades
no open positions (41 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$4 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +296%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 232 history records