trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +62.0% | +46.6% | 100% | 100% | +46.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +62.0% | +46.6% | 100% | 100% | +46.6% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 50% | 50% | -19.1% |
| all | 10 | -33.1% | -39.5% | 40% | 40% | -22.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.5% | 40% | -22.1% |
| 10% | -45.3% | 20% | -29.5% |
| 15% | -50.6% | 20% | -36.3% |
| 20% | -55.4% | 10% | -42.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Panama win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $100 | $98 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 8¢ | 9¢ | $46 | $56 | +$11 (+23%) |
| Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo? | Yes | 6¢ | 8¢ | $20 | $27 | +$7 (+34%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $101 | +$63 | +62% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX? | Apr 10 | $100 | −$75 | -75% |
| Will Axiom be accused of insider trading? | Apr 10 | $35 | +$6 | +18% |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | Apr 10 | $200 | −$40 | -20% |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026? | Mar 10 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Feb 26 | $120 | +$47 | +39% |
| Will Lucas Sinclair die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Dec 31 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Holly Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"? | Dec 31 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition | Dec 25 | $100 | −$69 | -69% |
| Fact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake? | Dec 23 | $119 | +$17 | +14% |