Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:50:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc7d…8895
sports · 253 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$1,785 +17%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,797 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$263
Realized+$1,797
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses148 / 95
Est. fees paid−$127
Open positions10
Markets (closed)243 / 253
History coverage35d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 10 History 243 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$411
7 days+$730
14 days+$1,064
30 days+$1,644
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 61¢ 62¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 36¢ 36¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Spirit 66¢ 64¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-2%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 42¢ $25 $23 −$2 (-10%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) TheMongolz 60¢ 60¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 61¢ 58¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-5%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Team Falcons 52¢ 52¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 47¢ 46¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) FUT Esports 63¢ 44¢ $20 $14 −$6 (-29%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 31¢ 30¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 66¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 54¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Vitality 58¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Legacy 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Natus Vincere 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $543 +$144 +26%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $20 +$18 +90%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 +$11 +206%
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open Jun 12 $15 +$15 +97%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $20 +$13 +66%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $15 +$19 +124%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 +$53 +105%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $15 +$16 +107%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$34 +67%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$25 +50%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $40 −$40 -99%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $111 +$73 +66%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$34 +165%
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 11 $20 +$22 +109%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 +$39 +76%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 +$14 +70%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) Jun 11 $30 −$30 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $25 −$1 -4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $15 −$15 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 09 $20 −$20 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $15 +$16 +105%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5) Jun 09 $15 +$17 +109%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $101 +$34 +34%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$15 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $101 +$44 +44%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $25 +$16 +65%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 +$20 +129%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $40 +$42 +105%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $151 +$69 +46%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $15 +$15 +97%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $91 +$56 +61%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $101 +$55 +55%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $30 +$14 +45%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $51 +$47 +93%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 07 $56 −$36 -64%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$1,780
other 1% −$4
crypto 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 61¢ $20 56m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 61¢ $51 57m
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Team Falcons 52¢ $15 57m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $25 1h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 66¢ $51 1h
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 63¢ $20 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $15 1h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 60¢ $20 2h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY TheMongolz 31¢ $10 2h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 36¢ $51 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 52¢ $20 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 81¢ $503 6h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 57¢ $41 7h
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Team Bald (BO1) - The International Europe Open BUY Team Bald 50¢ $15 9h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 43¢ $15 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 44¢ $15 12h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $51 26h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 32¢ $5 26h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) BUY Spirit 66¢ $40 26h
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) BUY Legacy 56¢ $20 26h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $15 26h
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $20 26h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 48¢ $15 26h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $51 26h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 59¢ $51 26h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 33¢ $10 32h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 65¢ $101 33h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 56¢ $51 36h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY Vitality 58¢ $30 37h
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FURIA 47¢ $20 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)+5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 68 +13.1% +2.3% 60% 60% +14.6%
≤30d 237 +14.0% +3.2% 60% 60% +5.0%
≤90d 243 +16.3% +5.2% 61% 61% +6.1%
all 243 +16.3% +5.2% 61% 61% +6.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +5.2% 61% +6.1%
10% -4.8% 59% -4.1%
15% -14.0% 54% -13.3%
20% -22.5% 45% -21.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $263.09 · official $263.09 (match) · 516 history records