Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:33:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc86…7e77
sports · 398 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,309 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,412 · open −$897
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,054
Realized−$2,412
Unrealized−$897
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses178 / 518
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Est. fees paid−$481
Open positions52
Markets (closed)696 / 398
History coverage3d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day1018.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 52 History 696 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,745
7 days−$2,412
14 days−$2,412
30 days−$2,412
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 37¢ 100¢ $359 $960 +$601 (+167%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 58¢ 62¢ $313 $329 +$16 (+5%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 65¢ 100¢ $188 $288 +$100 (+53%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 61¢ 62¢ $282 $286 +$5 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 50¢ 100¢ $143 $285 +$141 (+99%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 41¢ 100¢ $106 $259 +$153 (+144%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 31¢ 100¢ $79 $255 +$175 (+221%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 68¢ 100¢ $164 $241 +$77 (+47%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 41¢ 38¢ $227 $211 −$16 (-7%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Alex de Minaur 87¢ 100¢ $161 $185 +$23 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 31¢ 38¢ $144 $178 +$34 (+24%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ 100¢ $111 $173 +$62 (+56%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 42¢ 44¢ $158 $165 +$7 (+4%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 69¢ 64¢ $172 $159 −$13 (-8%)
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) Alex Perez 58¢ 50¢ $117 $101 −$16 (-14%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 58¢ 100¢ $57 $97 +$41 (+72%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 80¢ 100¢ $63 $79 +$16 (+25%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 54¢ 100¢ $41 $76 +$35 (+84%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 38¢ 73¢ $37 $72 +$34 (+92%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Virtus.pro 51¢ 100¢ $32 $64 +$31 (+98%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 90¢ 92¢ $52 $53 +$1 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 56¢ 100¢ $29 $52 +$22 (+77%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 41¢ 55¢ $30 $40 +$10 (+33%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 33¢ 36¢ $33 $36 +$3 (+9%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Robin Montgomery 37¢ 44¢ $26 $31 +$5 (+20%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card) Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Murcia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Javier Barranco Cosano Jun 12 $7 $0 -2%
Alicante: Elmer Moeller vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Jun 12 $11 $0 -2%
Miami Open, Qualification: Anastasia Zakharova vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $6 $0 -7%
Dubrovnik: Mayar Sherif vs Anouk Koevermans Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Sao Paulo: Gonzalo Bueno vs Thiago Agustin Tirante Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
ODI Series West Indies vs Sri Lanka: West Indies vs Sri Lanka Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Doosan Bears Jun 12 $2 $0 +9%
Spread: CS Cienciano (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Cavaliers vs. Hornets: O/U 238.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Red Wings vs. Senators Jun 12 $66 −$66 -100%
Will Kuwait win on 2026-06-05? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Will Tōkyō Verdy win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Burkina Faso vs. Guinea-Bissau: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Prostejov: Vitaliy Sachko vs Jan Kumstat Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-03-28? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will El Ittihad SC El Iskandary win on 2026-05-18? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynx: O/U 163.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Carstensz - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Magic vs. Clippers: O/U 215.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Villarreal CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Linda Fruhvirtova vs Elsa Jacquemot Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-03-18? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Magic vs. Heat: O/U 235.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Zachary Svajda Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Yale Bulldogs (-5.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-1.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28? Jun 12 $249 −$249 -100%
Spread: New York Yankees (-7.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will France win on 2026-03-29? Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Alba Berlin vs. AEK Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Miriana Tona vs Lia Karatancheva Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Wuning: Yi Zhou vs Kody Pearson Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Singapore vs. Mongolia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$2,755
other 3% +$98
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 53¢ $4 0m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner BUY SPARTA 38¢ $2 0m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 20¢ $5 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Daria Snigur 58¢ $28 1m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 51¢ $7 1m
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 37¢ $27 2m
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 61¢ $4 2m
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 51¢ $6 2m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 54¢ $24 4m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 67¢ $18 4m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 80¢ $65 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 18¢ $25 5m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 44¢ $36 5m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $24 6m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 44¢ $6 7m
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY SPARTA 49¢ $3 7m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 41¢ $3 7m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 71¢ $27 9m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 49¢ $29 9m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 42¢ $8 9m
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 40¢ $14 10m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 45¢ $4 10m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 17¢ $0 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 72¢ $5 10m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 45¢ $5 10m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 17¢ $1 10m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 47¢ $14 10m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 74¢ $6 10m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 8¢ $0 11m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 8¢ $0 11m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-49.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 696 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 20% -15.6%
≤30d 696 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 20% -15.6%
≤90d 696 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 20% -15.6%
all 696 -44.5% -49.8% 26% 20% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1018.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -49.8% 20% -15.6%
10% ← realistic here -54.6% 16% -23.7%
15% -59.0% 14% -31.1%
20% -63.0% 11% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,053.98 · official $5,053.18 (match) · 3500 history records