Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:34:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc87…7ab6
sports · 224 markets active 95d ago
0.0score
−$6,891,904 -177%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,891,904 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,891,904
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses132 / 567
Whale WR (big bets)23%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)699 / 224
Avg bet$17,420
Trades / day1810.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 0 History 699 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,586,569
7 days−$7,586,569
14 days−$7,586,569
30 days−$7,586,569
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5 Over 48¢ 0¢ $28,476 $0 −$28,476 (-100%)
Red Wings vs. Senators Senators 59¢ 0¢ $60,698 $0 −$60,698 (-100%)
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $12,938 $0 −$12,938 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5 Under 61¢ 0¢ $779 $0 −$779 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5 Over 39¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Nets vs. Nuggets Nets 29¢ 0¢ $24,205 $0 −$24,205 (-100%)
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 241.5 Over 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $945 $0 −$945 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5 Under 50¢ 0¢ $27,001 $0 −$27,001 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $21,576 $0 −$21,576 (-100%)
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28? No 52¢ 0¢ $1,013,157 $0 −$1,013,157 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $322 $0 −$322 (-100%)
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 Over 51¢ 0¢ $1,453 $0 −$1,453 (-100%)
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $4,957 $0 −$4,957 (-100%)
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $916 $0 −$916 (-100%)
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $1,190 $0 −$1,190 (-100%)
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) Real Sociedad de Fútbol 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $4,644 $0 −$4,644 (-100%)
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Spurs 52¢ 0¢ $30,682 $0 −$30,682 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $17,147 $0 −$17,147 (-100%)
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Kings vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5 Jun 12 $28,476 −$28,476 -100%
Red Wings vs. Senators Jun 12 $60,698 −$60,698 -100%
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-01-10? Jun 12 $12,938 −$12,938 -100%
Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5 Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Hellas Verona FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $779 −$779 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Nets: O/U 215.5 Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Nets vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $24,205 −$24,205 -100%
Heat vs. 76ers: O/U 241.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
76ers vs. Warriors: O/U 218.5 Jun 12 $945 −$945 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Suns: O/U 223.5 Jun 12 $27,001 −$27,001 -100%
Lakers vs. Clippers: O/U 224.5 Jun 12 $21,576 −$21,576 -100%
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-02-28? Jun 12 $1,013,157 −$1,013,157 -100%
Bulls vs. Pacers: O/U 236.5 Jun 12 $322 −$322 -100%
Heat vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5 Jun 12 $1,453 −$1,453 -100%
1. FC Köln vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4,957 −$4,957 -100%
Warriors vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $916 −$916 -100%
Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5 Jun 12 $1,190 −$1,190 -100%
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5) Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Nuggets vs. Thunder: O/U 232.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
AS Monaco FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4,644 −$4,644 -100%
Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-6.5) Jun 12 $30,682 −$30,682 -100%
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5 Jun 12 $17,147 −$17,147 -100%
Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Raptors vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5 Jun 12 $216 −$216 -100%
Rockets vs. Heat: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Spurs vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5 Jun 12 $1,935 −$1,935 -100%
Rockets vs. Thunder Jun 12 $37,749 −$37,749 -100%
Spread: 76ers (-3.5) Jun 12 $34,894 −$34,894 -100%
Clippers vs. Pistons: O/U 214.5 Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) Jun 12 $64 −$64 -100%
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 12 $23,511 −$23,511 -100%
Jets vs. Wild: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5,335 −$5,335 -100%
Will AC Milan win on 2026-03-01? Jun 12 $6,494 −$6,494 -100%
Atalanta BC vs. Parma Calcio 1913: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $4,000 −$4,000 -100%
Flames vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $12,245 −$12,245 -100%
Knicks vs. Kings: O/U 232.5 Jun 12 $901 −$901 -100%
Norwich City FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2,672 −$2,672 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) Jun 12 $8,703 −$8,703 -100%
Hawks vs. Lakers: O/U 232.5 Jun 12 $1,241 −$1,241 -100%
Jazz vs. Bulls: O/U 243.5 Jun 12 $292 −$292 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 12 $18,985 −$18,985 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? Jun 12 $24,941 −$24,941 -100%
Pelicans vs. Jazz Jun 12 $9,780 −$9,780 -100%
Spread: Warriors (-2.5) Jun 12 $4,628 −$4,628 -100%
Stars vs. Kings Jun 12 $80,491 −$80,491 -100%
Penguins vs. Islanders Jun 12 $10,740 −$10,740 -100%
Stars vs. Blues: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $4,999 −$4,999 -100%
Liverpool FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $20,080 −$20,080 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 57% −$314,527
sports 43% +$1,009,192
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela BUY Nicaragua 8¢ $17 94d
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela BUY Nicaragua 8¢ $16 94d
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela BUY Nicaragua 8¢ $6 94d
Spread: Warriors (-6.5) BUY Jazz 49¢ $150 94d
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela BUY Nicaragua 8¢ $1 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $7 94d
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela BUY Nicaragua 8¢ $0 94d
First Round Pool D: Nicaragua vs. Venezuela BUY Nicaragua 8¢ $48 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $3 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $3 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $4 94d
Spread: Cavaliers (-12.5) BUY 76ers 45¢ $259 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $3 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $347 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $308 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $10 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $1,118 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $1,185 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $1,240 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $518 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $1,128 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $1,120 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $4,242 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $299 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $961 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $3 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5) BUY Nets 49¢ $3,256 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $1,128 94d
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) BUY Nets 53¢ $395 94d
Spread: Warriors (-7.5) BUY Jazz 53¢ $1 94d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-54.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 475 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 475 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 475 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 699 -49.2% -54.0% 19% 18% -63.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1810.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -54.0% 18% -63.6%
10% -58.4% 18% -67.1%
15% ← realistic here -62.4% 17% -70.3%
20% -66.1% 16% -73.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records