Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:01:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdc92…741b
crypto · 418 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$61 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$77 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$117
Realized+$77
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses212 / 201
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions5
Markets (closed)413 / 418
History coverage117d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown69%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 5 History 413 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$111
14 days+$111
30 days+$111
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 68¢ $66 $65 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 31¢ 30¢ $44 $43 −$1 (-3%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 12¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Benjamin Bonzi 24¢ 9¢ $9 $4 −$6 (-62%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 84¢ 20¢ $5 $1 −$4 (-77%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 +$3 +71%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $8 +$6 +73%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $80 +$43 +54%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $3 +$2 +75%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $60 +$23 +38%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $86 +$18 +21%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 10 $5 +$6 +116%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $5 +$6 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$6 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 08 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 08 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 08 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 08 $12 +$10 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 08 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 08 $19 +$12 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$9 +83%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 08 $7 +$3 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$4 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$2 +40%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 08 $25 −$3 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$2 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 08 $9 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$3 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 08 $3 +$12 +398%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $8 +$1 +18%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 08 $9 +$2 +22%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$5 +96%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 08 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 08 $11 −$11 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 08 $13 −$1 -8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 08 $6 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 08 $11 +$9 +81%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 08 $7 −$7 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 08 $4 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$69
sports 15% −$12
other 4% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Legacy 30¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 32¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 84¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Legacy 30¢ $40 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $4 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Legacy 31¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 68¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +0.3% -9.2% 60% 52% -4.6%
≤30d 128 +0.3% -9.2% 60% 52% -4.6%
≤90d 128 +0.3% -9.2% 60% 52% -4.6%
all 413 -2.5% -11.8% 51% 41% -7.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 41% -7.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 31% -16.4%
15% -27.9% 22% -24.5%
20% -35.0% 15% -31.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $117.26 · official $117.26 (match) · 3500 history records