Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T02:47:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc94…66ec crypto 1325 markets active 1h ago coverage 25d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$21 (+1%) realized −$19 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR35%break-even
Win rate82%1080W / 245L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day62.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days+$8
14 days−$14
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-9.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 284 +1.5% -8.1% 86% 30% -8.5%
≤30d 1325 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 35% -10.0%
≤90d 1325 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 35% -10.0%
all 1325 -0.3% -9.8% 82% 35% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.8% 35% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.4% 11% -18.6%
15% -26.3% 2% -26.4%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.94 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1080 / 245
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1325 / 1325
History coverage25d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day62.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1325 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2886 history records