Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T22:17:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdc99…0137 crypto 1504 markets active 0h ago coverage 51d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Total PnL −$1,369 (-20%) realized −$978 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -30% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -46% what you keep after slip
Net edge-46%after slip
Net WR21%break-even
Win rate28%416W / 1088L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day43.7pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$97
7 days−$231
14 days−$97
30 days−$878
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$980
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-36.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -10.3% -18.9% 72% 65% -29.7%
≤30d 535 -9.4% -18.0% 65% 46% -22.5%
≤90d 1504 -29.8% -36.5% 28% 21% -22.7%
all 1504 -29.8% -36.5% 28% 21% -22.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover43.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -36.5% 21% -22.7%
10% ← realistic here -42.6% 15% -30.1%
15% -48.1% 11% -36.9%
20% -53.2% 9% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -14% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -30% · $-wt -14% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -45% → late -15% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$2 · ×1.54 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.59 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

51d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$978
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses416 / 1088
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1504 / 1504
History coverage51d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day43.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1504 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +25%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +54%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +45%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +44%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 24m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 44m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 54m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records