trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 94% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 96% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 24 | -3.9% | -13.1% | 96% | 0% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.1% | 0% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -21.4% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -29.0% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $658 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $288 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $650 | +$4 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 12? | Jun 13 | $389 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? | Jun 10 | $380 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 4? | Jun 07 | $296 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on June 4? | Jun 07 | $355 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | Jun 01 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,400 in May? | Jun 01 | $120 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 | Jun 01 | $151 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? | Jun 01 | $270 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Xiaomi have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 2 | May 26 | $60 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May | May 26 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Anthropic have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–Ma | May 26 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Z.ai have the second highest estimated revenue for May 18–May 24, | May 26 | $150 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k? | May 25 | $141 | $0 | +0% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will San Marino win the televote for Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $220 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $435 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market ca | May 01 | $230 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Z.ai have the second-best Coding AI model at the end of April 202 | May 01 | $424 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "Trevor Noah: Joy in the Trenches" be the #2 global Netflix show | Apr 22 | $243 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will "Big Mistakes: Season 1" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? | Apr 22 | $400 | +$11 | +3% |
| Will 100 to 129 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026? | Apr 11 | $642 | +$1 | +0% |