Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T00:03:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdca3…60f5 crypto 289 markets active 0h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (774 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$128 (-2%) realized −$128 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -13% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -33% what you keep after slip
Net edge-33%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate48%140W / 149L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day773.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$312
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (774 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-21.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 289 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 38% -13.0%
≤30d 289 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 38% -13.0%
≤90d 289 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 38% -13.0%
all 289 -13.1% -21.4% 48% 38% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover773.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.4% 38% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -28.9% 25% -21.3%
15% -35.8% 17% -28.9%
20% -42.1% 11% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 11% · top 2 20% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
20% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -13% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late -10% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$10 · ×0.84 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$128
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses140 / 149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)289 / 289
History coverage2d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day773.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 289 Trades
no open positions (38 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 24 $31 −$24 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 24 $62 −$10 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 23 $34 −$28 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 23 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 23 $124 +$14 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$13 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 23 $154 −$54 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 23 $186 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 23 $63 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 23 $32 −$3 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 23 $32 −$13 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 23 $32 −$21 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 23 $123 +$98 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 23 $95 −$31 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 23 $125 +$134 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 23 $154 −$14 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 23 $93 +$19 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 23 $246 −$87 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 23 $185 −$150 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 23 $123 +$14 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 23 $64 −$60 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 23 $94 −$12 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 23 $94 +$20 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 23 $62 −$27 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 23 $155 +$40 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 23 $157 +$27 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 23 $185 −$26 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 23 $123 +$50 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 23 $95 +$22 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 23 $92 +$30 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 23 $93 +$45 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 23 $91 −$12 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 23 $92 +$9 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 23 $92 +$21 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 23 $61 +$21 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 23 $64 −$23 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 23 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 23 $31 +$15 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 23 $31 +$18 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 23 $62 +$24 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 23 $94 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $92 +$37 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 23 $93 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 23 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $65 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $61 −$30 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 23 $65 −$61 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 23 $63 −$11 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 23 $93 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 8¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $31 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $30 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $31 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $31 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 0¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $32 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $31 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $77 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $31 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $30 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 23¢ $24 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $32 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $36 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $31 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $18 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $31 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $40 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $31 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $31 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $9 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $31 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $30 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $35 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $31 32m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1305 history records