Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdca4…36f8
sports · 415 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$48 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses233 / 176
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions6
Markets (closed)409 / 415
History coverage116d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 6 History 409 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 40¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+150%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 61¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 57¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-29%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 48¢ 18¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-61%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Lokomotiv Yaroslavl Severstal Cherepovets 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B Spirit 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs FURIA 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerland Switzerland 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs TheMongolz (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2 TheMongolz 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs G2 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Tundra Esports 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Passion UA 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Monte (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffs Monte 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 Heroic 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs Aurora 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group B NIP 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FK Lokomotiv Moskva win on 2026-03-09? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
KHL: Severstal Cherepovets vs. Torpedo Severstal Cherepovets 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 G2 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A Apr 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06? Apr 06 $1 $0 +38%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Apr 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta Apr 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G Apr 05 $1 $0 +35%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group S Apr 05 $1 $0 +20%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $1 $0 +20%
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B Apr 05 $1 $0 +32%
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St Apr 05 $1 +$1 +83%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 05 $1 $0 +39%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gr Apr 04 $1 $0 +23%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $1 $0 +34%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage Apr 04 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Buchar Apr 04 $1 $0 +25%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playo Apr 03 $1 $0 +49%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl Apr 03 $1 $0 +44%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play Apr 02 $1 +$1 +93%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs M80 (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 02 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Closed Apr 02 $1 +$1 +82%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Play Apr 02 $1 +$1 +52%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl Apr 02 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 02 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Apr 02 $1 $0 +37%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship P Apr 02 $1 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs 3DMAX (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Apr 01 $1 −$1 -99%
Dota 2: 1win vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A Apr 01 $1 +$1 +64%
Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pla Apr 01 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Apr 01 $1 +$1 +73%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Apr 01 $2 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Sweden win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $5 +$6 +114%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 31 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Play Mar 31 $2 +$1 +47%
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Clos Mar 31 $2 −$1 -73%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $4 −$2 -49%
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs ACROBATS (BO3) - PGL Astana: European Closed Q Mar 31 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Monte (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 31 $2 +$2 +93%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 31 $2 +$2 +105%
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Italy win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $6 −$6 -99%
Kosovo vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Mar 31 $2 −$2 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Mar 31 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - FERJEE In House Play Mar 31 $2 +$1 +42%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Acend (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs Mar 31 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs BASEMENT BOYS (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs Mar 30 $3 +$1 +22%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs G2 (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs Mar 30 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$46
other 26% −$3
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 61¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $1 1h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 48¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 40¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 28¢ $1 2h
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A BUY Yellow Submarine 39¢ $1 68d
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-04-06? BUY Yes 72¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY FOKUS 71¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: NRG vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY NRG 57¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY B8 56¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Sta BUY TheMongolz 55¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY Legacy 67¢ $1 69d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G SELL Legacy 100¢ $1 69d
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs Pipsqueak+4 (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group B BUY Virtus.pro 75¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group S BUY TheMongolz 83¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs MIBR (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group St BUY MIBR 54¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest G BUY Legacy 73¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FOKUS (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY PARIVISION 83¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY FUT Esports 71¢ $1 70d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Gr BUY TheMongolz 81¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Buchar SELL FUT Esports 100¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY PARIVISION 65¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Wildcard (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stage BUY B8 74¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - PGL Buchar BUY FUT Esports 79¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playo SELL G2 100¢ $1 71d
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 9INE (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pl BUY BetBoom Team 69¢ $1 72d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playo BUY G2 66¢ $1 72d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 121 -9.8% -18.4% 57% 55% -21.6%
all 409 -4.4% -13.5% 57% 56% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.5% 56% -17.0%
10% -21.8% 53% -25.0%
15% -29.3% 45% -32.2%
20% -36.2% 36% -38.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.59 · official $5.59 (match) · 670 history records