Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdca7…918d
crypto · 927 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$96 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses522 / 405
Open positions0
Markets (closed)927 / 927
History coverage11d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day116.3
Drawdown96%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 927 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$947
7 days−$832
14 days+$96
30 days+$96
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$18 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$7 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$9 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$7 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $6 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $7 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 574 -8.1% -16.8% 59% 55% -23.7%
≤30d 927 -1.3% -10.7% 56% 52% -13.4%
≤90d 927 -1.3% -10.7% 56% 52% -13.4%
all 927 -1.3% -10.7% 56% 52% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover116.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 52% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 41% -21.7%
15% -27.0% 32% -29.3%
20% -34.2% 22% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2366 history records