Wallet analysis

2026-06-25T17:39:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
DC 0xdcaa…eeeb crypto 708 markets active 0h ago coverage 26d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 25d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (115 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$5,282 (+30%) realized +$5,282 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR11%break-even
Win rate85%633W / 115L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$25per market
Trades / day115.5pace
Fees−$4est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 26d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$70
sports 1% −$58
other 0% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (115 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 -22.7% -30.1% 59% 21% -26.9%
≤30d 748 -6.8% -15.7% 85% 11% -14.7%
≤90d 748 -6.8% -15.7% 85% 11% -14.7%
all 748 -6.8% -15.7% 85% 11% -14.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover115.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 11% -14.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 7% -22.9%
15% -31.1% 3% -30.3%
20% -37.9% 1% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 15% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
85% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -15% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$19 · ×0.09 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.51 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

26d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,282
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses633 / 115
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)748 / 708
History coverage26d ⚠
Avg bet$25
Trades / day115.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 748 Trades
no open positions (88 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $14 −$14 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 25 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 25 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 25 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 25 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 25 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 25 $33 −$33 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 25 $51 −$51 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 25 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 25 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 25 $44 −$44 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 25 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 25 $61 −$61 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 25 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 25 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 25 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 25 $24 −$24 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 25 $29 −$29 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 25 $81 −$81 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 25 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 25 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 25 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 25 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 25 $35 −$35 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 25 $54 −$54 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 25 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 25 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 25 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 25 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 25 $67 −$67 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 25 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 25 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 25 $36 +$8 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 25 $125 −$7 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 25 $31 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 25 $38 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 25 $70 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 25 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 25 $71 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 25 $32 +$4 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $26 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $12 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 87¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $36 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $34 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $30 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $99 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $70 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $17 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $19 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $37 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $26 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $30 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $9 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $11 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $40 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $0 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records