Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdcc8…0cb8
other · 175 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)9%
Wins / losses16 / 159
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)175 / 175
History coverage219d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 175 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? Jun 13 $3 $0 -2%
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Jun 12 $2 $0 -1%
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I Jun 10 $1 $0 -2%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Jun 09 $1 $0 -1%
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado? Jun 09 $1 $0 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14? Jun 08 $1 $0 -1%
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? Jun 08 $1 $0 -1%
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election Jun 06 $1 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 06 $3 $0 -0%
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? Jun 05 $2 $0 -0%
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Jun 05 $5 $0 -1%
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Jun 04 $2 $0 -1%
Will there be exactly 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldw Jun 03 $1 $0 -1%
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30? Jun 02 $1 $0 -1%
Will Innio's market cap be less than $17B at market close on IPO day? Jun 01 $1 $0 -3%
Will Alberta join the US? Jun 01 $2 $0 -0%
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? May 30 $3 $0 -0%
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? May 30 $3 $0 -0%
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? May 29 $2 $0 -2%
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31? May 28 $1 $0 -1%
Will Savinho be included in Brazil's official 2026 World Cup squad lis May 27 $2 $0 -1%
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? May 26 $1 $0 -1%
Will Clavicular be banned from Kick by May 31? May 25 $1 $0 -4%
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? May 25 $1 $0 -0%
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? May 23 $3 $0 -0%
Will Tuyo launch a token by June 30, 2026? May 22 $1 $0 -2%
Will Alaska Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31? May 21 $2 $0 -1%
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch? May 19 $1 $0 -25%
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30? May 16 $1 $0 -1%
Will Allegiant announce bankruptcy by December 31? May 16 $1 $0 -0%
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31? May 15 $1 $0 -1%
Will "Michael" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m? May 15 $1 $0 -2%
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 13? May 14 $1 $0 -0%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? May 14 $2 $0 -0%
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? May 13 $2 $0 -0%
Trump out as President by May 31? May 13 $8 $0 -0%
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China? May 12 $1 $0 -1%
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026? May 11 $1 $0 -5%
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 50m May 09 $1 $0 -1%
Probable FDV above $500M one day after launch? May 08 $1 −$1 -50%
Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026? May 07 $3 $0 -1%
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? May 05 $1 $0 -2%
Will MrBeast's video get between 66 and 68 million views on day 3? May 05 $1 $0 -1%
Trump out as President by June 30? May 04 $2 $0 -0%
Will the Ornn H200 Index hit $5.50 (HIGH) by May 31, 2026? Apr 30 $1 −$1 -54%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? Apr 30 $1 $0 -1%
Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31? Apr 29 $1 $0 -12%
MegaETH FDV above $500M one day after launch? Apr 29 $1 $0 -3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 37% −$5
tech 18% −$2
world 17% $0
politics 15% −$1
finance 5% −$1
sports 5% −$1
crypto 2% $0
culture 1% $0
weather 0% $0
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL Yes 91¢ $1 1h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? SELL No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 93¢ $1 2h
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 2h
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $1 24h
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $1 24h
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $1 24h
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 24h
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL Yes 93¢ $1 2d
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $1 2d
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 2d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 2d
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I SELL Yes 97¢ $1 3d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? SELL Yes 93¢ $1 3d
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's I BUY Yes 99¢ $1 3d
Will Neymar play in the World Cup? BUY Yes 94¢ $1 3d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? SELL No 99¢ $1 4d
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado? SELL Yes 97¢ $1 4d
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? BUY No 99¢ $1 4d
Will Mark Baisley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado? BUY Yes 97¢ $1 4d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14? SELL Yes 97¢ $1 5d
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? SELL Yes 98¢ $1 5d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 5d
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2026? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 5d
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election SELL No 100¢ $1 7d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? SELL No 94¢ $1 7d
Will Luis Carlos Heinze win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election BUY No 100¢ $1 7d
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? BUY No 94¢ $1 7d
Will Marcelo Maranata win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election? SELL No 99¢ $1 8d
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? SELL No 97¢ $2 8d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -0.9% -10.4% 11% 0% -10.5%
≤30d 34 -1.7% -11.1% 3% 0% -10.7%
≤90d 111 -5.3% -14.3% 13% 2% -13.2%
all 175 -5.0% -14.0% 9% 1% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 1% -13.1%
10% -22.3% 0% -21.4%
15% -29.8% 0% -29.0%
20% -36.7% 0% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 565 history records