Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:00:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdcdb…43b1
crypto · 284 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$63 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses158 / 125
Open positions1
Markets (closed)283 / 284
History coverage49d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 283 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$22
14 days−$31
30 days−$53
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 59¢ 62¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$3 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 08 $2 +$2 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 08 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 08 $4 −$3 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $15 −$8 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 08 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 08 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $2 −$1 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 08 $1 +$1 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 08 $1 −$1 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 08 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 07 $3 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$2 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $1 +$1 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 06 $6 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 06 $4 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 06 $9 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$4 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 06 $21 −$16 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 06 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 06 $12 +$9 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 06 $8 +$4 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 06 $4 +$5 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 06 $21 −$17 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 06 $1 +$1 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 06 $16 +$4 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 06 $10 +$6 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 05 $9 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 05 $1 $0 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$63
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 59¢ $6 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $0 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -0.9% -10.3% 56% 48% -19.3%
≤30d 269 -7.3% -16.1% 58% 43% -15.9%
≤90d 283 -10.0% -18.6% 56% 42% -17.0%
all 283 -10.0% -18.6% 56% 42% -17.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.6% 42% -17.0%
10% -26.3% 31% -24.9%
15% -33.5% 25% -32.2%
20% -40.0% 17% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.32 · official $6.32 (match) · 626 history records