trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -0.7% | -10.1% | 30% | 10% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 24% | 12% | -11.8% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 22% | 11% | -11.8% |
| all | 18 | -2.4% | -11.7% | 22% | 11% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.7% | 11% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 6% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 6% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 6% | -35.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 57¢ | 57¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $9 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30 | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET | Jun 03 | $1 | +$2 | +114% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Jun 03 | $3 | $0 | -15% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | May 26 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | May 24 | $3 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 25 | $1 | $0 | -2% |