trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 20 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 15% | 10% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 14% | 9% | -9.7% |
| all | 22 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 14% | 9% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 9% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 5% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Armenia Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National | Jun 08 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 08 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |
| Will Jonathan Bush win the 2026 Maine Governor Republican primary elec | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | -5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $5 | $0 | -4% |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? | Jun 05 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$1 | +14% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 26 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? | May 25 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Arya Azma win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary elect | May 21 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | May 21 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | May 20 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats | May 20 | $10 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 18 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | May 18 | $15 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | May 17 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National A | May 17 | $15 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 17 | $5 | $0 | -0% |