Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:39:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdceb…4db7
crypto · 1354 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$96 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$96 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$96
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses316 / 1038
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1354 / 1354
History coverage54d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day13.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1354 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$65
14 days−$65
30 days−$65
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 70¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$3 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$6 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$6 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$5 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $7 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 4¢ $0 49m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $8 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 25¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $8 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-5.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 87 +70.7% +54.4% 70% 57% -19.4%
≤30d 87 +70.7% +54.4% 70% 57% -19.4%
≤90d 1354 +4.2% -5.7% 23% 14% -10.6%
all 1354 +4.2% -5.7% 23% 14% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -5.7% 14% -10.6%
10% -14.8% 7% -19.1%
15% -23.0% 6% -27.0%
20% -30.5% 4% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.66 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records