Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DC
0xdced…92c6
crypto · 875 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$832 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$835 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19
Realized−$835
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses459 / 552
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1011 / 875
History coverage2d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day1238.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 4 History 1011 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$825
7 days−$835
14 days−$835
30 days−$835
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 67¢ 98¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+46%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 89¢ 95¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 62¢ 94¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+52%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 79¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 10¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-35%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+56%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% +$92
other 17% +$117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $3 6m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 12m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 14m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $0 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-26.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1011 -18.8% -26.5% 45% 39% -17.3%
≤30d 1011 -18.8% -26.5% 45% 39% -17.3%
≤90d 1011 -18.8% -26.5% 45% 39% -17.3%
all 1011 -18.8% -26.5% 45% 39% -17.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1238.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.5% 39% -17.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.6% 28% -25.2%
15% -40.0% 19% -32.4%
20% -45.9% 12% -39.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.04 · official $13.90 · 3500 history records