Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:13:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd06…7e18
crypto · 115 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
−$158 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$156 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$156
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses64 / 34
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions17
Markets (closed)98 / 115
History coverage80d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 17 History 98 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$45
14 days+$45
30 days+$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 16¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 5¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+47%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 64¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-11%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-23%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 13¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 +$57 +1824%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Jun 13 $7 −$7 -97%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $14 +$16 +113%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 +$9 +182%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? Jun 12 $10 $0 +4%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $14 +$6 +41%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $5 +$1 +13%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? May 18 $5 +$3 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6AM ET Apr 20 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET Apr 20 $26 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 7AM ET Apr 20 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET Apr 20 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4AM ET Apr 10 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2AM ET Apr 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 1AM ET Apr 10 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8AM ET Apr 10 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 3AM ET Apr 08 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4AM ET Apr 08 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9AM ET Apr 07 $77 +$9 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6AM ET Apr 07 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5AM ET Apr 07 $78 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3AM ET Apr 07 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 2AM ET Apr 07 $74 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9AM ET Apr 03 $55 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 8AM ET Apr 03 $50 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3PM ET Apr 03 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 1PM ET Apr 02 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 9AM ET Apr 02 $50 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6AM ET Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 7AM ET Apr 02 $55 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 8AM ET Apr 02 $5 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 4AM ET Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5AM ET Apr 02 $1 +$1 +139%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 3AM ET Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 2AM ET Apr 02 $26 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3PM ET Apr 02 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 2PM ET Apr 01 $42 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 8AM ET Apr 01 $51 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9AM ET Apr 01 $52 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 4AM ET Apr 01 $77 −$33 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 7AM ET Apr 01 $2 +$2 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6AM ET Apr 01 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 5AM ET Apr 01 $50 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 3AM ET Apr 01 $50 +$2 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$227
other 6% +$13
world 1% −$10
sports 0% +$66
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 2¢ $2 56m
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 56m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 56m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $2 57m
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 18¢ $3 59m
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 1h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $60 1h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $2 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $8 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 24¢ $7 2h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $14 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 99¢ $14 25h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $18 25h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 84¢ $9 25h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 25h
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 16¢ $1 25h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 25h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $5 25h
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30? SELL No 98¢ $10 25h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $14 39h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $5 39h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $25 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET SELL Down 100¢ $29 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 4AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 54d
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 8AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 64d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 +152.4% +128.4% 58% 50% +30.0%
≤30d 14 +135.8% +113.3% 64% 57% +29.4%
≤90d 98 +7.5% -2.8% 65% 40% -13.8%
all 98 +7.5% -2.8% 65% 40% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.8% 40% -13.8%
10% -12.1% 21% -22.0%
15% -20.6% 11% -29.6%
20% -28.4% 9% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.11 · official $48.12 (match) · 360 history records