Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:06:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd1c…3f79
crypto · 1392 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1,327 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,499 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$24
Realized+$2,499
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses838 / 543
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1381 / 1392
History coverage10d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day274.6
Drawdown51%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1381 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,405
7 days+$396
14 days+$2,499
30 days+$2,499
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET Down 73¢ 66¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+54%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 6AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 3, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 10PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 3PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$5,008
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $10 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 43m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $14 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $13 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $12 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 978 -1.7% -11.0% 53% 51% -7.2%
≤30d 1381 +7.4% -2.8% 61% 59% -0.1%
≤90d 1381 +7.4% -2.8% 61% 59% -0.1%
all 1381 +7.4% -2.8% 61% 59% -0.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover274.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.8% 59% -0.1%
10% ← realistic here -12.1% 40% -9.7%
15% -20.6% 27% -18.4%
20% -28.4% 23% -26.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.85 · official $23.85 (match) · 3500 history records