Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T08:02:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd1f…cc26
other · 264 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$331 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$85 · open +$107
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$359
Realized+$85
Unrealized+$107
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses108 / 158
Whale WR (big bets)73%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)266 / 264
Avg bet$182
Trades / day28.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit11%
Chart Positions 1 History 266 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$827
7 days+$813
14 days+$2,008
30 days+$1,427
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 51¢ 73¢ $252 $359 +$107 (+42%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $435 $0 −$435 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? Yes 52¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $247 $0 −$247 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? No 31¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? No 7¢ 0¢ $192 $0 −$192 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026? No 70¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $228 $0 −$228 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? No 52¢ 0¢ $258 $0 −$258 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $108 $0 −$108 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Jun 12 $247 −$247 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026 Jun 12 $228 −$228 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026? Jun 12 $258 −$258 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $73 −$5 -7%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 12 $72 −$23 -32%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? Jun 12 $153 −$45 -29%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $87 +$2 +2%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? Jun 11 $184 +$1 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $321 −$12 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 10 $211 −$12 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,354 +$93 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $1,963 +$1,308 +67%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $666 +$46 +7%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 08 $49 +$21 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 08 $100 −$1 -1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 07 $176 −$54 -31%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $119 −$37 -31%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $4 −$3 -73%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 06 $152 +$33 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 05 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $646 +$240 +37%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $452 +$339 +75%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 05 $214 −$89 -42%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $92 −$53 -57%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $26 −$15 -60%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $138 −$71 -51%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 03 $3 $0 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $396 +$31 +8%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $401 +$314 +78%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $66 −$60 -91%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $4 $0 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $691 +$710 +103%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $202 +$179 +89%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $213 −$59 -28%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $82 −$27 -33%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 01 $55 +$19 +35%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $192 −$192 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $177 +$100 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $112 +$71 +63%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $98 +$15 +16%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $289 −$274 -95%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $145 −$142 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 27 $35 −$34 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $13 −$9 -66%
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $95 −$4 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 27 $99 +$42 +42%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $273 −$6 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $29 −$9 -32%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $109 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET May 26 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 98% +$1,057
world 1% −$68
crypto 1% −$60
tech 0% +$1
finance 0% +$2
economics 0% −$11
weather 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 64¢ $32 53m
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 7¢ $30 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 11¢ $11 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 13¢ $27 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 1h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL Yes 24¢ $43 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 15¢ $14 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 15¢ $14 4h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL Yes 30¢ $6 5h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 67¢ $102 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 22¢ $7 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 22¢ $33 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? SELL Yes 22¢ $55 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 35¢ $35 5h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 30¢ $30 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 32¢ $32 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 37¢ $37 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 66¢ $97 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $33 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 33¢ $13 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 66¢ $39 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 65¢ $45 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13? BUY Yes 35¢ $32 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 66¢ $33 6h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? BUY Yes 38¢ $47 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? SELL Up 31¢ $47 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 28¢ $32 19h
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 11? BUY Up 28¢ $12 19h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 21 -20.4% -28.0% 38% 19% +0.9%
≤30d 82 -14.1% -22.3% 40% 29% -0.2%
≤90d 192 -12.8% -21.1% 38% 27% -12.5%
all 266 -9.3% -17.9% 41% 29% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover28.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 29% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 24% -17.3%
15% -32.9% 17% -25.3%
20% -39.5% 12% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $358.69 · official $358.69 (match) · 3500 history records