Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:28:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

DD
0xdd27…ac1d
crypto · 1116 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$29 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses571 / 548
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1119 / 1116
History coverage9d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day274.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1119 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$43
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 53¢ 58¢ $3 $4 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 47¢ 42¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 53¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+89%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$42
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 890 -1.8% -11.2% 52% 1% -10.3%
≤30d 1119 -1.6% -11.0% 51% 1% -10.2%
≤90d 1119 -1.6% -11.0% 51% 1% -10.2%
all 1119 -1.6% -11.0% 51% 1% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover274.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 1% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 1% -18.8%
15% -27.3% 1% -26.7%
20% -34.4% 1% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.65 · official $6.00 (match) · 3500 history records