Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T04:22:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
DD 0xdd31…5bf3 crypto 167 markets active 1h ago coverage 49d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$103 (+1%) realized +$103 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate94%147W / 10L
Drawdown4%max
Avg bet$83per market
Trades / day6.6pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit89%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$3
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 87% +$82
other 13% +$15
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 59 +0.7% -8.9% 93% 0% -8.9%
≤90d 157 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 0% -8.9%
all 157 -2.4% -11.7% 94% 0% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.6 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 0% -8.9%
10% -20.1% 0% -17.6%
15% -27.8% 0% -25.5%
20% -34.9% 0% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$0 · ×1.55 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×22.79 per $1 lost it wins $22.79
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

49d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$103
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)94%
Wins / losses147 / 10
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)157 / 167
History coverage49d
Avg bet$83
Trades / day6.6
Drawdown4%
Kalshi-fit89%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 157 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? Jun 08 $599 +$3 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $100 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET Jun 08 $499 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? Jun 07 $199 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7? Jun 07 $327 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6? Jun 06 $150 $0 +0%
Bitcoin above 58,800 on June 6, 1PM ET? Jun 06 $79 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? Jun 06 $99 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 5? Jun 05 $145 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 05 $329 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $118 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 05 $10 −$1 -6%
HYPE Up or Down - June 5, 3AM ET Jun 05 $20 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 05 $597 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $621 +$2 +0%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $20 $0 +1%
Bitcoin above 61,800 on June 4, 10AM ET? Jun 04 $317 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin above 65,200 on June 4, 10AM ET? Jun 04 $99 +$1 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET Jun 04 $80 +$2 +2%
HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 8AM ET Jun 04 $5 $0 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 6AM ET Jun 04 $69 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 04 $200 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 04 $280 $0 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 5AM ET Jun 04 $50 +$1 +2%
HYPE Up or Down - June 4, 3AM ET Jun 04 $113 +$5 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $300 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 04 $49 −$3 -6%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 04 $48 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 04 $48 $0 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 3? Jun 03 $46 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $401 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $25 $0 +1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 3, 3AM ET Jun 03 $32 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 03 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 03 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 03 $194 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET Jun 03 $23 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET Jun 03 $129 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $15 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 03 $49 +$1 +2%
Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 2? Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 2? Jun 02 $73 +$1 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $297 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET Jun 02 $22 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10AM ET Jun 02 $196 +$4 +2%
Ethereum above 2,020 on June 1, 8PM ET? Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $148 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down on June 1? Jun 01 $160 +$2 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BUY 100¢ $35 1h
BUY 100¢ $115 1h
BUY 100¢ $115 1h
BUY 100¢ $115 1h
BUY 100¢ $51 1h
BUY 100¢ $115 1h
BUY 100¢ $115 1h
BUY 100¢ $85 1h
BUY 100¢ $14 1h
BUY 100¢ $100 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 13d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? BUY Yes 99¢ $189 13d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $199 13d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 8? BUY Yes 100¢ $208 13d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $100 14d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $499 14d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7? BUY Up 99¢ $128 14d
Ethereum Up or Down on June 7? BUY Up 100¢ $199 14d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $199 14d
Bitcoin above 58,800 on June 6, 1PM ET? BUY Yes 100¢ $79 15d
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6? BUY Up 99¢ $99 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $150 15d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? BUY Yes 100¢ $130 16d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $45 16d
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $2 16d
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $7 16d
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 16d
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $100 16d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $10 16d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $10 16d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 437 history records