Wallet analysis

2026-06-27T18:32:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

4.5

score

DD 0xdd32…f000 sports 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 110d

RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample

✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge

Total PnL +$95 (+45%) realized +$95 · open +$0

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Gross ROI / mkt +86% what the leader earns

→−copy tax

Net edge / mkt +68% what you keep after slip

Net edge+68%after slip

Net WR80%break-even

Win rate80%4W / 1L

Drawdown1%max

Avg bet$42per market

Trades / day0.1pace

Fees−$1est.

Kalshi-fit80%portable

Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$112

7 days+$129

14 days+$129

30 days+$129

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net

insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +80%

net ROI/market (all)+68.0%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	4	+132.1%	+110.0%	100%	100%	+46.0%
≤30d	4	+132.1%	+110.0%	100%	100%	+46.0%
≤90d	4	+132.1%	+110.0%	100%	100%	+46.0%
all	5	+85.7%	+68.0%	80%	80%	+45.3%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip

turnover0.1 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to20%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+68.0%	80%	+45.3%
10%	+52.0%	60%	+31.4%
15%	+37.3%	60%	+18.7%
20%	+23.8%	60%	+7.1%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill

Profit concentration

top 53% · top 2 79% thin sample

Edge freshness (90d)

90d ROI +61% too few recent

Fragile wins

0% wins margin < slip thin sample

Flat-copyable

equal-wt +86% · $-wt +61% works when copied flat

Big bets

big-bet WR —% no data

Persistence

early —% → late —% no data

Add-ons / DCA

1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries

Win / loss size

+$32 vs −$1 · ×32.22 wins bigger than losses

Profit factor

×128.89 per $1 lost it wins $128.89

Copy size

≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

110d coverage

Net worth$0

Realized+$95

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)80%

Wins / losses4 / 1

Est. fees paid−$1

Open positions0

Markets (closed)5 / 5

History coverage110d

Avg bet$42

Trades / day0.1

Drawdown1%

Kalshi-fit80%

Ledger

positions · history · trades

Positions 0 History 5 Trades

no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
O/U 2.5 Rounds	Jun 27	$40	+$34	+86%
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners	Jun 26	$3	+$10	+324%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	Jun 26	$67	+$68	+101%
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First Half	Jun 23	$100	+$17	+17%
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Mar 09	$1	−$1	-100%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
O/U 2.5 Rounds	BUY Under	53¢	$40	1h
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners	SELL Under	100¢	$13	40h
Japan vs. Sweden: Japan O/U 3.5 Corners	BUY Under	23¢	$3	2d
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	BUY No	49¢	$67	2d
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score in First Half	BUY No	85¢	$100	4d
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY Yes	19¢	$1	110d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 9 history records