trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -83.1% | -84.7% | 11% | 11% | -72.5% |
| all | 14 | -38.3% | -44.2% | 29% | 29% | -34.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.2% | 29% | -34.3% |
| 10% | -49.5% | 29% | -40.6% |
| 15% | -54.4% | 21% | -46.3% |
| 20% | -58.9% | 21% | -51.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Winter Games 2026: Athlete to be stripped of medal? | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31? | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Iran strike Cyprus in March? | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Russia enter Borova by March 31? | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31? | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Germany join the Board of Peace? | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | Apr 07 | $5 | +$3 | +52% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Mar 09 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31? | Mar 03 | $1 | +$1 | +82% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by February 28? | Feb 28 | $5 | +$11 | +223% |
| Will Ukraine record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +33% |
| Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026? | Jan 22 | $1 | $0 | -26% |