trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $2,000 | $2,022 | +$22 (+1%) |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | Yes | 6¢ | 0¢ | $49 | $0 | −$49 (-100%) |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | Yes | 46¢ | 0¢ | $700 | $0 | −$700 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | Jun 12 | $1,517 | +$929 | +61% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 03 | $1,620 | −$33 | -2% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | May 24 | $561 | +$1,055 | +188% |
| Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | May 24 | $359 | −$357 | -99% |
| Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | May 24 | $50 | −$49 | -97% |
| Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? | May 24 | $711 | −$700 | -98% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $344 | +$162 | +47% |
| Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 07 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Super Bowl LIX Winner | Oct 26 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Will Paxos win the USDH ticker? | Oct 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26? | Oct 26 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| Will Trump say "border" 5 or more times during his inauguration speech | Jan 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration spee | Jan 20 | $23 | −$23 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" 4 or more times during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "illegal immigrant" or "illegal immigration" during his | Jan 20 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "Biden" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "doge" or "Dogecoin" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | +$6 | +25% |
| Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | +$7 | +27% |
| Will Trump say "middle class" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | +$80 | +320% |
| Will Trump say "mandate" 3+ times during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $25 | +$112 | +448% |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his inaugurati | Jan 20 | $101 | +$74 | +73% |
| Will Trump say "Los Angeles" during his inauguration speech? | Jan 20 | $100 | +$178 | +178% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +61.2% | +45.9% | 100% | 100% | +45.9% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 33% | 33% | +6.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -8.7% | -17.4% | 33% | 33% | +6.4% |
| all | 29 | -11.6% | -20.0% | 34% | 34% | -5.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -20.0% | 34% | -5.2% |
| 10% | -27.6% | 34% | -14.3% |
| 15% | -34.6% | 28% | -22.6% |
| 20% | -41.0% | 24% | -30.2% |